At the urging of a commenter, I answered an objection he made at this previous post that my review only focused on federal income taxes, and didn’t consider the impact, which he appeared to assume was either regressive or at least “unfair” to low- and middle-income earners, of the other taxes that people must pay.
Fair enough. Here is the substance, with some enhancements, of the comment I left in response last night, which will serve as good marker for future arguments about whether the evil rich are pulling their weight in the tax system.
Keep in mind that at this other comment at the previous post, I noted that in 2003, the most recent year for which comprehensive IRS data is available, the bottom half of all individual income tax filers not only as a group paid no net income tax, but actually, thanks to the Earned Income Credit and other credits, had (again as a group) a negative tax liability.
So, here goes:
State income tax — Most state taxes are “progressive” and allow for very few deductions after federal AGI. The evil rich pay a much higher percentage of their income in most states than than those in the middle class. A particularly egregious example is California, where the top rate is currently 9.3% (10.3% on income over $1 million); that could go to roughly 11%-12% if Meathead Rob Reiner gets his way on his pre-school tax. The state’s tax rate starts at 1% for lower earners.
A convenient table of state taxes showing that the vast majority are “progressive” is here. Of the few states that have “flat” taxes, most have exemption amounts that make them mildly “progressive.”
Local income tax — In Ohio, it’s a straight percentage of income. It’s flat — neither regressive nor “progressive.”
Sales tax — In Ohio, sales tax is charged on everything except groceries and take-out food. That makes it progressive in the sense that those categories constitute a higher pecentage of a less well-off person’s or family’s budget. I can’t speak for other states, but a table of strictly the rates without identifying exempted items is here.
Medicare tax — 2.90% (employer and employee portions combined) of ALL earned income. It sounds like it’s neither regressive or progressive, but the fact is that there should be some sort of correlation between what’s paid in and the benefits received. The fact is that the evil rich are plunking almost 3% of their gross earned income (no deductions) into a system where they will never get anything even resembling proportional benefits in return, while low earners pay in very little and get much more than that back in terms of medical benefits. The least the rest of us could do is say “thank you.”
Social Security — 12.40% (employer and employee portions combined) of all earned income up to about $94,000). This looks regressive, but is actually progressive based on the way benefits are calculated. Assuming no inflation, someone making $25,000 a year during their entire working career will get a benefit of about half that, or $12,500 per year. Again with no inflation, a person making $75,000 a year during their entire career will get a benefit of about 25% of that, or about $19,000. (Earnings above the earnings limit aren’t taxed, but no additional benefits are earned either.) This means, in a point that I similarly made in my maiden post over a year ago, that the person who paid THREE times as much into SocSec is getting a benefit that’s only about 50% higher. On top of that, upper-middle and higher-income taxpayers usually have to pay federal income tax on 50%-85% of their SocSec benefits, while a lower-middle income person doesn’t. You can call Social Security a lot of things, but regressive is NOT one of them.
Real estate tax — This is essentially a “flat asset tax” based on property value. The decision to own a home is voluntary one based hopefully on an evaluation of what a person or family can afford. My take on this is that people tend to live in homes with values proportional to their income, so I would rate this tax as flat (though renters tend to pay proportionally less in property taxes that are inherently included in rents).
Personal property tax (usually on cars) — If there’s a regressive tax, this might be it. While the evil rich tend to drive more expensive cars and pay higher vehicle property taxes, those taxes as a percentage of their income will usually be lower. In the grand scheme of things, these taxes are not a big item.
Taxes on dividends and capital gains — The money used to invest in stocks, bonds, etc. is usually after-tax income that was already taxed when it was earned. A real good argument could be made that dividends and capital gains shouldn’t be taxed at all on that basis. It should also be noted that the tax collections from capital gains have skyrocketed since the rates were lowered in 2003, because the evil rich have been more willing to move their money around to better investments, even if it means having to pay the capital gains tax as a result. This not only raises more revenue, but moves money in the economy into better-quality investments as opposed to keeping it locked into lesser-quality ones.
Also don’t forget that all dividends in 401(k) are tax-deferred, and all cap gains are tax deferred, and those investment plans are more available in proportion to income to the middle class than they are to the upper class because of contribution limits, so-called discrimination testing, and the like.
On balance, I believe the lower taxation of dividends and capital gains outside of retirement plans compared to their tax-deferred nature inside of retirement plans is probably a wash, and that there’s no significant “progressiveness” or regressiveness here. Anyone who is aware of a study on this matter should let me know.
The Death tax — This is an asset-based tax. The only other asset-based taxes in the list above are the real estate and property taxes, which at least have some correlation with the services rendered by the state, county, city, and/or school district involved. There is no such correlation with the death tax — it is simply government-sanctioned theft of wealth that takes place only because a person happened to die, and then only because the person did not employ estate-tax avoidance strategies. Its impact on those who fail to do that is certainly “progressive.”
As discussed over a year ago, I believe that the death tax should be eliminated, because the money involved in building the estate was already taxed at least once, and perhaps as many as four times (income tax, dividends tax, capital gains tax, and/or property taxes on homes and farms); because eliminating it would eliminate the entire tax-avoidance side of the estate planning industry and put those people to work doing more productive things; and because assets wouldn’t remain locked in place as a strategy to avoid the tax, improving capital flows in the economy and the economy’s performance.
So, let’s review:
- State income taxes — “progressive.”
- Local income taxes — flat.
- State sales taxes — flat to mildly “progressive.”
- Medicare tax — flat, but VERY “progressive” when benefits to be received are compared to money put in are compared.
- Social Security — flat up to the earnings limit, but VERY “progressive” when benefits received are compared to money put in are compared, and when the federal income taxation of benefits on higher earners is considered.
- Real estate tax — flat to mildly progressive, if renters are included.
- Personal property tax — somewhat regressive.
- Dividends and cap gains — on balance, flat, IF the non-rich person is wise enough to be saving in tax-deferred retirement plans (more info on this from elsewhere would be welcome).
- Death tax — when it happens, “progressive.”
So, despite concerns expressed by the commenter about items besides federal income taxes, it’s hard not to conclude that the tax system as a whole is still very “progressive.” The evil rich certainly pay a much higher percentage of their incomes in taxes than those in the lower and middle classes. In fact, one of the last things we need to worry about is whether the evil rich are paying their “fair share” — it’s pretty clear they’re doing quite a bit more than that.
My commenter appears to resent the fact that the evil rich may still have more money and wealth left than the rest of us even after paying their exorbitant taxes. Thank goodness for that; if they knew they would end up with the same amount as everyone else, they’d stop working so hard (or smart), and would also stop generating all those taxes that carry us.
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UPDATE: Steve makes some great points in his first comment, and picks up a few taxes I missed, and I think I covered his concerns in the comment that follows.
UPDATE 2, May 20: Here’s an update on the one remaining piece above that was a guesstimate, the cost of government regulation (link requires subscription):
Federal regulations now cost the U.S. economy about $1 trillion in lost output a year, or about $8,000 per household, according to a 2005 study by the Small Business Administration.
That is probably as regressive a “tax” as you’ll ever see. The regulatory burden on a richer person may be higher than it is for a poor person, but it certainly doesn’t increase in proportion to income.