The humble US penny may be going the way of the horse and buggy, turntable, and betamax. It costs 1.4 cents to produce each one. Even our government can figure out that it’s not smart to keep making them.
Now if only a certain congresswoman could figure that out:
The U.S. Mint is a money-making government operation in more ways than one. In 2005, it made $730 million in profit. But pennies are being targeted as the big loser for the mint. It costs the government 1.4 cents for every penny produced. Multiply that by 7 or 8 billion pennies made each year and it comes to a $20 million loss. (Note: That’s really between $28 million and $32 million a year. — Ed.)
….. “I cannot support eliminating the penny at this time,” said Rep. Carolyn Maloney, D-N.Y. “Although the penny does cost more than what it cost to make the penny, the nickel also cost more than the nickel to make. According to the Mint, the penny cost 1.4 cents and the nickel 6.4 cents. … If we drop the penny we would need to make more nickels so it’s not clear the net would come out ahead financially.”
Ms. Maloney has a point until she lets loose of this whopper:
Maloney added that eliminating the penny would hurt the poor.
“A study by a former Federal Reserve economist shows that rounding hurts lower income most and this effect would be especially strong if only cash transactions are rounded,” she said.
I find a reference to Federal Reserve surveys relating to the penny at this link — from 1996 — which makes this statement about 60% of the way through the text:
Increased prices due to rounding ultimately would fall disproportionately on those least able to afford it, the poor and the elderly, because they make more small cash purchases. Federal Reserve surveys confirm that those with incomes under $10,000, nonwhites and Hispanics, and those adults with less than 12 years of education pay for more than half of their total purchases in cash. Since only cash transactions will be subject to rounding, it follows that cessation of penny production would be regressive in that the poor will bear a larger share of the aggregate burden than will other segments of society.
Nowhere is it estimated how much “burden” is involved. It so ridiculously low that it’s embarrassing.
Assume that all transactions, even electronic ones, have to be rounded to the nearest nickel. We’ll assume that, even though it’s likely that rounding would only apply to the total amounts of each cash transaction if the penny ceased to exist, and not to individual items on merchant shelves (though over time merchants would certainly “round out” their product line). Then assume that a person has an absurdly high 150 purchase transactions in a month. If every single one of these transactions was rounded up by a worst-case 4 cents, the monthly financial impact would be ….. $6 (150 x $.04).
But of course this wouldn’t happen. Even if merchants were able to automatically round every transaction up, the impact would at most be 2 cents (the average of rounding up 4, 3, 2, 1, and 0). Now we’re down to $3 a month (150 x $.02). It so happens that many prices end in 9, so the impact if merchants had total control to round up would really be somewhat less than $3.
But even this wouldn’t happen because competition would in most cases force merchants to round up or down to the nearest 5 cents (transactions ending with 3, 4, 8, or 9 would be rounded up, those ending in 1, 2, 6 or 7 would be rounded down). The impact in reality would be close to zero, while the roughly $30 million saved annually by taxpayers from penny elimination would amount to 10 pennies two nickels per person. Of course, you would have to offset that with the loss incurred on additional nickels produced. But even if nickel production has to be increased 50% from the last annual amount of 1.741 billion to accommodate penny elimination, that loss of a bit over $12 million (1.4 cents x .87 billion) would enable the govern-Mint, contrary to Ms. Maloney’s unsureness, to still come out ahead.
And that’s my two cents’ worth on Ms. Maloney, who really needs an infusion of common, uh, sense.