October 17, 2006

Why “The Polls” Consistently Get It Wrong

This is why (7th para at this link):

The October 2006 Battleground Poll shows sixty-one percent of Americans consider themselves “conservative” or “very conservative” and thirty-four percent of Americans consider themselves “liberal” or “very liberal.”

(If on the home page, click “more” for Ohio-specific evidence and impact)


NixGuy Is All Over the Coverage of Last Night’s Debate, and THE TOPICS (UPDATED, Carried to Near the Top of Tuesday)

WOW — an excellent Energizer bunny roundup (keeps going and going …..). Go there for the latest on media and other coverage of what WoMD started and this blog analyzed in detail. Separately, Nix makes THE point about the hypocrisy of criticizing Dennis Hastert over Mark Foley and while giving Ted Strickland a pass over his “problem” employee (as does Bob Burney, whose audio is linked at RAB).

That of course does not mean I’m not going to make a few observations throughout the day. Of course I will.


NECESSARY TOP-OF-LIST UPDATE: Newshound is all over this crap from the Cleveland Plain Dealer’s Mark Naymik, and rightly so (bold is mine) –

Trailing badly in the polls and unable to steal the momentum in the previous three gubernatorial debates, Republican Ken Blackwell resurrected charges against his opponent Monday night that have long been discredited but nonetheless stole the spotlight in their final meeting.

Mark — The 1999 vote hasn’t been “discredited.” It happened.

Mark — The employment without adequate screening by Strickland of a convicted sex offender in the mid-1990s hasn’t been “discredited.” It happened.

Naymik is either lying through his teeth or a breathtakingly ignorant political reporter. Take your pick.

UPDATE 2: This post from John Hawkins at Right Wing News about Virginia US Senate Democrat candidate James Webb is interesting and timely.

Get this:

….. someone alerted me to a depraved passage in another one of Webb’s other books ….. For reasons I cannot fathom, in Webb’s book, Lost Soldiers, he has a scene that features incestuous pedophilia. Now here’s the kicker: not only is it a completely gratuitous scene, the characters in the book, bizarrely, don’t even seem to react to a sex act being performed on a child in front of them.

(goes on to excerpt from book — WARNING, the material is disturbing — Ed.)

….. Folks, I will grant you that this is a work of fiction, but it’s still a very strange and disturbing passage and are you going to try to tell me that a Senate candidate writing graphic descriptions of pedophilia and incest isn’t a story? Come on! It goes without saying that any Republican who wrote this sort of thing and ran for office would be absolutely ripped into a thousand pieces by the mainstream media. Meanwhile, the MSM isn’t even showing the people of Virginia these passages so that they can make up their own minds about how relevant they are.

That leads to this obvious corollary here in Ohio: If a GOP gubernatorial candidate had voted “Present” in a resolution condemning an attempt by a “professional” organization to make pedophilia look like not such a bad thing, who in their right mind thinks that Ted Strickland’s current media and other defenders, who are now saying that it isn’t even proper to bring Strickland’s vote up, wouldn’t be all over it?

Ankle Biting Pundits notes that Webb is also getting the see-no-evil treatment from the 527 Media.

UPDATE 3: From Ted Strickland at the debate last night (in the Dispatch’s report) –

Strickland said he agreed with most of the resolution but took issue with a portion saying children who are sexually abused as children could not become healthy, affectionate adults.

That has been covered, and swatted away. The language Ted Strickland refers to is not in what was “Resolved.” It was language from a Supreme Court decision in the “whereases.” The “whereases” were a recitation of various points, one of which referred to the historical fact of the Supreme Court’s decision.

Many of the 355 who voted for the resolution certainly agreed with Strickland that the Supremes’ “no prospect for healing” lauguage was over the top and agree that people can heal from sexual abuse suffered as a child, but nevertheless were smart enough to recognize that you didn’t have to agree with that language in the Supremes’ decision to support the resolution.

Why didn’t Ted? Because this one-minute speech had his REAL objections, the ones he didn’t DARE bring up in the debate, because of the arrogance and condescension that literally cascades from it:

(Mr. STRICKLAND asked and was given permission to address the House for 1 minute and to revise and extend his remarks.)

Mr. STRICKLAND. Mr. Speaker, it troubles me that sometimes in this Chamber we stand and say things that we ought not to say. We criticize people that we have no right to criticize.

We recently voted to condemn a scientific study and an organization, an organization that has done as much as any organization in this country to fight child abuse.

I wonder how many of us read the study before we were willing to vote to say that the methodology was flawed. I wonder how many of us were technically competent to make that decision.

I believe that we ought to observe the Ten Commandments. One of those Commandments says, you ought not to bear false witness against your neighbor.

When we say things about an organization or about an individual scientist that are untrue or unsubstantiated, in my judgment, we have violated that Commandment.

We ought to have the decency not to vote to condemn something until we know what it is we are voting to condemn.

The Latest of 57 Reasons to Reject the Ohio Learn & Earn Initiative (101706)

Filed under: News from Other Sites,Taxes & Government — Tom @ 1:17 pm

From Jill at Writes Like She Talks (original entry relating to Jill’s effort is here) –

  • Reason 25 — “Because it abdicates responsibility and accountability.”

As Jill says:

If the proponents are smart enough to find the tens of millions being used to push for passage of Issue 3, to find people and entities to help do the dirty deceptive work of getting petitions signed, and to turn their heads away every time they see a billboard on the side of bus saying “It’s for the Children” and chuckle because really “It’s for the owners,” they could – if they wanted to – come up with far better ways to make Ohio’s students, families, corporations, government, nonprofits and academic institutions solve the affordability problems.

  • Reason 24 — “When people desire money over sex, you know it’s a bad proposition.” Specifically, “Apparently, more than half of the US population would swap a healthy sex life for a healthy bank balance made from an online poker win. And even more surprising than that is more men would do the celibacy swap for cash than women, however men did have a higher price for the trauma. The Women asked said they would settle for no sex for a year for an average of $1.9 million, the men asked for $2.3 million.”

Jill goes on:

“Now, I need to resist getting too emotional, but I’m dropping the Plain Dealer subscription I’ve had longer than I can even remember (at least 13 years) as a result of the endorsement. However, I cannot emphasize enough that I’m doing so, not because the PD supports Issue 3. I’m doing so because their endorsement is insupportable, just on the basis of what it states.”

She is right. That is one ugly editorial.


Filed under: Economy,Taxes & Government — Tom @ 8:07 am

A subscription-only op-ed by David Henderson a few days ago in The Wall Street Journal describes four initiatives on the ballot in the Golden State in November:

Proposition 86 seeks a $2.60 per-pack levy on cigarettes, on top of an already-high 87 cents per pack. Proposition 87 would tax every barrel of oil pumped from an in-state well. Proposition 88 would impose a $50 tax on every parcel of land. And Proposition 89 would impose an additional two-tenths of a percentage point increase in the current tax on California corporations.

All have negative consequences: 86 is a very regressive tax, 87 will lead to less oil-business actvity, 88 will impose costs on top of similar costs that already exist, and 89 at the margins will cause businesses to flee or at least choose not to grow in the state.

Of all the problems Cali has, one of them is NOT that its taxes aren’t high enough. Beyond that, each measure also has its own problems in messing up the economy. I would suppose that Arnold Schwarzenegger will be out from telling voters that these measures should fall into the sea.

This Calls for the ‘Reasons to Home School’ Counter

Filed under: Taxes & Government — Tom @ 8:02 am

Time to access the official Return of the Conservatives “Reasons to Home School” counter remorselessly stolen by yours truly many moons ago:


A teacher was busted for crack — not a bad joke, for having the drug, at school:

Wednesday, October 11, 2006
Teacher busted for crack

SAYLER PARK – Police on Wednesday arrested a Sayler Park School math teacher at the school and charged with possession of crack cocaine and a crack pipe.

When a drug-sniffing dog was brought into a classroom Wednesday, students thought it was a demonstration for a anti-drug program.

In fact, the dog was part of an investigation that led to the arrest of Thomas Hearn, 42, of Green Township.

Around 9:30 a.m., school resource officers brought the dog into the classroom. When the dog caught the scent of the crack cocaine, Hearn walked out of the classroom, police said.

The officers followed him into the hall and escorted him into the main office where he was arrested.

“We were very cognizant of the kids,” said Lt. Tom Lanter, a Cincinnati police spokesman. “We didn’t want them exposed to the arrest. (Hearn) was very cooperative.”

Parental Controls?

Filed under: Business Moves — Tom @ 7:57 am

Item: Microsoft Putting Parental Controls on Xbox 360.

Not reported: Kids to Show Parents How to Use Parental Controls (but only if asked, and while leaving some open holes).

If You Try This Idea on Your Boss, Be Prepared to Duck

Filed under: Business Moves — Tom @ 7:52 am

Those clever people at Apple funded a study purportedly showing that a 30-inch cinema display monitor can pay for itself in increased productivity — THEIR $1,999 Cinema display (HT Techdirt).

If the boss doesn’t laugh you out of the office (or throw something) when you propose a $2,000 expenditure, it may be because he or she is ready with this quote from the article.

The time savings are for commonly performed tasks and not meant to indicate overall productivity increases for workers, Pfeiffer said.

Nice try. Get back to work.

Positivity: Elderly Holocaust survivors reunited via internet

Filed under: Positivity — Tom @ 5:56 am

An emotional reunion in Israel:

Updated: 09/Oct/2006 22:09

JERUSALEM (EJP)— A brother and sister from Romania who were separated in the Holocaust and thought each other dead were reunited after 65 years.

Hilda Shlick, who now lives in Ashdod, Israel, always believed that her entire family, except for one sister, was killed in the Holocaust.

Earlier this year, her grandchildren conducted a search on Yad Vashem’s online Central Database of Shoah Victims’ Names for information on their grandmother, and were surprised to find a Page of Testimony filled out in Hilda’s memory by someone who wrote that he was her brother. They were then able to track down their grandmother’s two brothers who still live in Canada.

One, Simon Glasberg flew to Israel to meet his sister last month.

Chance finding

The story began when, during the course of a family discussion several months ago, Hilda’s grandchildren, Benny and David Shlick, learned that their grandmother’s maiden name was Glasberg. In light of the new information, they conducted a search online on the Central Database of Shoah Victims Names’ (www.yadvashem.org), in order to find out more about their grandmother’s family.

They learned that Karol Weiner was the person who submitted the Page of Testimony in 1999, where he stated that Hilda was his sister who had perished. They also found out that the name of their grandmother’s mother was Henia Weiner.

David began to conduct additional, more extensive searches. Through the Website of the Montreal Burial Society and online forums of survivors of Chernowitz, he was able to track down Karol Weiner’s son, Dr. Eric Weiner. Karol died in 1999, (the same year that he submitted the Page of Testimony).

As a result of subsequent correspondence between David Shlick and Dr. Eric Weiner the entire picture became clear: Hilda Shlick’s (nee Glasberg) immediate family, including her parents and siblings, that remained in Romania survived the Holocaust.

Emotional reunion

The long lost brother, Simon Glasberg, of Ottawa, Canada traveled to Israel in September to reunite with his sister and they spent Rosh Hashanah, the Jewish New year, together. Their brother Mark lives in Montreal, but was too ill to travel to Israel.

Glasberg said he was without words when he saw his sister for the first time since 1941.

“I felt I couldn’t talk. I just cried,” he was quoted as saying by the Associated Press. “You don’t understand, 65 years.”

Shlick also said she was overwhelmed. “For 65 years, I lived thinking I had no family besides one sister,” she said.

The Central Database of Shoah Victims’ Names contains some three million names of Holocaust victims, two million of the names come from Pages of Testimony, and the remainder are from archival lists.

Available at www.yadvashem.org, over 10 million people have visited the website since the Database went online in November 2004.