This blog has had a bit of unable-to-resist levity at Barack “Obambi” Obama’s expense during the past few days (”Obambi” is a name given to the Illinois senator by the New York Times’ Maureen Dowd).
Then on Sunday, the Washington Post, in what I now believe was a “let’s get it out of the way now so we can say it’s old news later” piece, noted irregularities relating to Obama’s home purchase last year in Chicago. There are also issues (brought out at the same BizzyBlog link that discusses the WaPo article) with wife Michelle’s amazing promotion to a position nearly tripling her salary a few months after Obama’s election to the US Senate, plus her presence on the board of a company that does business with the liberally-despised Wal-Mart, has laid many mostly Hispanic workers off, and pays its CEO a beyond-the-pale outrageous amount of money.
Then there are the “minor” things, such as the fact that Obama promised when he ran for the Senate that he would serve a full term (that promise is now, cough-cough, “inoperable”), that he’s as far-left as they come on prolife, economic, social, and other issues, and that an Obama trip to a foreign land would have meant East Chicago, Indiana until just a couple of years ago.
Just so we’re clear — It’s been fun, but I don’t think any of it matters.
That’s because I agree with the prediction of Kevin McCullough at Townhall.com. I didn’t say that I like his prediction, because I don’t, and I would enjoy being called a complete idiot (well, partial idiot) if I’m wrong.
This October column makes it very clear that McCullough doesn’t like his own prediction either. I only said I agree with it.
His prediction, made in his December 3 column, is that if Barack Obama runs, he will be the Democrat nominee, and that Barack Obama will win the presidency in November 2008.
McCullough’s reasons are sound and self-explanatory: Raging Liberals, Disgusted Conservatives, Exhausted Moderates, Energized Blacks, and Co-opted Evangelicals. Translation: Unstoppable majority, perhaps (my guess, not McCullough’s) even a 15%+ landslide. McCullough’s last item, which I never anticipated (who could have?) is what has turned me from my “Obama as Veep” prediction back in October (hey, I was wrong; I’m sorry) to “Obama will be Prez.” Since then, mega-Church evangelicals like Rick Warren have given Barack Obama all the intellectual cover he will ever need to neutralize criticism by religious people who try to call attention to what the man actually believes.
I’ve followed politics for over 30 years, and I see an electorate that appears ready to jettison substance, which Obama almost totally lacks, in favor of style, which he possesses an overabundance of. I see no reason to doubt McCullough’s prediction, and see no candidate on the horizon who will disrupt Obama’s run in any meaningful way, especially given the media wind (or “O-basm,” as Rush likes to call it) at his back. There are already signs that Hillary Clinton is watching her world crumble (McCullough believes, though I couldn’t find evidence elsewhere beyond the existence of an Obama-Soros meeting [HT Church Militant], that this is no longer true; Soros supported Obama in his 2004 Senate run).
Though a lot can obviously change in 23 months, I will be operating on this prediction for the foreseeable future. This is just as well, as I have no intention of turning this site into a blog that obsesses over presidential politics, polls, flubs of the day, and the like. I’ll certainly look at any concrete proposals candidates formulate, and follow the specifics, especially relating to tax and fiscal policy, of what goes on in Washington (and Columbus, and elsewhere) in the meantime. I probably won’t be able to ignore the true “over the tops” that happen from time to time (like Kerry’s insult to the troops; Kerry has, since I predicted his possible upper hand in the early primaries, done everything he can to make that nearly impossible), but that will be the extent of it.
But I don’t believe that following the horse race, which ordinarily leaves me cold anyway, will be necessary, because of what I believe is the accuracy (but definitely not the desirability) of Kevin McCullough’s prediction. Anyway, it’s not like there’s a shortage of other topics to blog on.