January 19, 2008

South Carolina Liveblog

Filed under: Taxes & Government — Tom @ 6:28 pm

Other links: Weapons of Mass Discussion, TIB Radio (click here to listen; you will need WinAmp, whatever that is, to tune in).


9:39 p.m. – The consensus is that a McCain-Thompson ticket would be powerful. Signing off, barring a major development.

9:19 p.m. – Fox calls it for McCain, ahead of Huck-Fred-Romney 33-29-16-15.

9:12 p.m. – Same breakdown at 75%.

9:07 p.m. – 72% counted, still McCain-Huck-Fred-Romney, 34-29-16-15.

9:00 p.m. – 61% counted, still McCain-Huck-Fred-Romney, 34-29-16-15.

8:50 p.m. – 50% counted, McCain-Huck-Fred-Romney, 34-29-16-15.

8:45 p.m. – 46% counted, McCain-Huck-Fred-Romney, 33-29-16-15. Discussion is of how the two front-runners are in danger of permanently wrecking the Reagan coalition.

8:40 p.m. – We’re working on throwing Newt Gingrich overboard for his “Reagan era is over” statement earlier in the week. Mark’s on a roll.

8:35 p.m. – You really should be listening now as the discussion will gravitate to Newt Gingrich and his involvement with Mike Huckabee. With 36% in, it’s McCain-Huck-Fred-Romney, 35-30-15-14.

8:25 p.m. – 22% in, it’s McCain-Huck-Fred-Romney, 36-28-15-15.

8:15 p.m. – McCain has a 5-point lead (35-30) per Drudge with 14% counted. Thompson has 15, Romney 14.

8:05 p.m. – Fred was on, looking from all appearances to be setting the stage for a concession later tonight. He looks like he could get third tonight, but not by much.

7:50 p.m. – Good discussion on broadening the base vs. diluting the message.

7:45 p.m. – Drudge is getting results up faster than the State of SC is reporting them.

7:40 p.m. – News from NV is that BOOHOO got more delegates than Hillary even though she “won” the popular vote.

7:35 p.m. – Rudy’s strategy of waiting until Florida, while very risky, has quite a bit of upside. If he wins FL he proves that he can do well in the south, with carryover benefits to the general election.

7:30 p.m. – Discussion is that non-Romney candidates losing Nevada may have been a mistake.

7:25 p.m. – The discussion is that Fred should stay in to hold his delegates and try to force some of the conservative agenda into the platform.

7:15 p.m. – Talking about the economy being paramount and how Bush has allowed it to be.

7:02 p.m. – Live on the radio now too. The state has an interactive county-by-county map here.

7:00 p.m. – Kondracke on Fox is criticizing BOOHOO (Barack O-bomba Overseas Hussein “Obambi” Obama) for lack of specifics, and that he needs to put forth some of them in the coming two weeks. Valid point.

6:55 p.m. – Looks like Hillary got the women’s vote in Nevada, which was the main item that put her over the top there. The gender solidarity stuff is really bothersome.

6:50 p.m. – The Weapons of Mass Discussion live link is here.

6:45 p.m – Fred has to stay in the race, if only because the Fox reporterette covering his campaign needs more TV face time. Just looking out for her career, y’know. :–>

6:40 p.m. – The statewide results link is here.

6:30 p.m. – BizzyBlog is live. Fox says that the top issue is the economy, and is claiming that McCain and Huck are the frontrunners, only talking about Huck and McCain. Saying that Thompson isn’t faring well in these “Who is the best?” questions.

Tonight: A Three-Way Liveblog of the South Carolina Primary

Filed under: News from Other Sites,Taxes & Government — Tom @ 9:27 am

Tonight, Matt Hurley and Mark Garbett of Weapons of Mass Discussion, along with yours truly, will be liveblogging the results out of South Carolina.

Based on the history, the Palmetto State’s primary is probably the most important one held to date on the GOP side. That’s because “From its inception in 1980 through the election of 2000, the winner of the South Carolina Republican presidential primary has gone on to win the nomination.” We won’t know for several weeks, and maybe months, whether that streak will remain intact (Rudy Giuliani surely hopes not), but there can be no doubt that tonight’s results will have a huge impact in determining the ultimate GOP nominee.

On the Dem side, the open question, which will be resolved next weekend, not tonight, in SC, is whether this will be Hillary Clinton’s first non-caucus loss, and if so, by how much. The polls indicate that a double-digit thrashing at the hands of BOOHOO (Barack O-bomba Overseas Hussein “Obambi” Obama) is quite possible. Of course, that’s what the polls predicted in New Hampshire, and we know how that turned out. A side issue: How badly John Edwards will be embarrassed in his home state. News out of Nevada today is that things are getting VERY testy between the candidates and their campaigns.

Tonight, we will be doing Certs breath mints one better, as we will have three, three, three liveblogs in one:
- At Matt’s and Mark’s place.
- Here at BizzyBlog.
- Over the Internet airwaves at Matt’s and Mark’s TIB (Truth In Blogging) Radio (click on link at the top right at Weapons of Mass Discussion).

The polls close at 7 PM, liveblogging will begin at about 6:30. TIB will go live at 7 PM.

The Swings in ARG’s Last Two South Carolina GOP Polls Are Hard to Believe….

Filed under: Taxes & Government — Tom @ 8:45 am

….. but oh, if they’re true (HT RCP) …..


….. and what if the swinging isn’t done?


UPDATE: Via Michelle Malkin — These five words (“Frankly, I like Ted Kennedy”) should work to ensure that someone on the above list whose numbers plunged into single digits indeeds ends up there.

On Objectionably Unfit Mitt Romney, Peter Robinson Makes the Closing Argument

Filed under: Economy,Life-Based News,Taxes & Government — Tom @ 8:43 am

Of all the things about Mitt Romney’s candidacy, his assumption of the mantle of Ronald Reagan is perhaps the second most infuriating (the most infuriating involves why he is Objectively Unfit Mitt).

Peter Robinson at National Revew Online is among the infuriated (bolds are mine):

Everybody knew just where Reagan stood. And therefore everybody knew, again, when Reagan was advancing his program and when he was merely maneuvering, as best he could, through the politics of the day.

Which brings me to the current candidates.

The reason I find Romney so flawed is precisely that he is so utterly unlike Reagan in this critical regard. First Romney was pro-choice. Now—a scant two years later—he’s pro-life. First Romney was a social conservative. Now he’s some sort of managerial moderate. Until about a week ago, Romney was in favor of limited government. Then he began campaigning in Michigan, where he suddenly discovered that the American automotive industry required the close and intensive supervision of the federal government to recover—and federal handout of some $20 billion to engage in research that Toyota is already conducting. Over and over again, ceaselessly, with his inimitable chirpiness, Romney claims the Reagan mantle. Yet when Teddy Kennedy accused Romney of being a Reagan-Bush Republican during a 1994 debate, Romney appeared shocked. “Look, I was an independent during the time of Reagan-Bush,” Romney replied indignantly. “I’m not trying to return to Reagan-Bush.”

People who know Romney well—people such as Dean Barnett, with whom, as it happens, I just had a cup of coffee—tell me that the true Romney, the inner Romney, really is a Reagan Republican. Maybe. But I’d sure like to be able to do more than take Dean’s word for it. (Not, come to think of it, that his knowledge of the inner Romney has enabled Dean himself to view Romney’s conduct with equanimity. As Dean wrote this very week in the New York Times, Romney has “mounted a campaign that was, at its most basic level, insincere.”)

Robinson didn’t even get to how Romney has, to make his alleged prolife “epiphany” appear more credible, totally miscast Reagan as “adamantly” prolife. This research into what actually happened in California with abortion legislation shortly after Reagan became governor utterly debunks that claim.

As to the Reagan-Bush mantle, South Carolina voters would be well-advised to play this 4-second clip of the quote Robinson referred to above over, and over, and over, to their Romney-supporting friends (YouTube link here):

Positivity: Friendly Michigan couple bequeath $1.6M to friends, neighbors

Filed under: Positivity — Tom @ 6:58 am

From Lowell, Michigan:

Friday, January 18, 2008

Willis and Arlene Hatch lived simply but blissfully together for 57 years.

Before they retired, Willis Hatch, known to friends as “Ish,” worked their 80-acre farm just south of Lowell, and his wife taught at Lowell Middle School.

The married couple went everywhere together: church services, community pancake breakfasts, school plays.

They enjoyed taking wintertime trips to Brownsville, Texas, but allowed themselves few luxuries.

“They was normal people, good people,” Harry Erickson, 72, said. “And it didn’t matter to them if you had one dollar or 10, they’d be your friend.”

An auto accident killed the Hatches in November. Now, about 70 friends and neighbors are surprised to find themselves a collective $1.6 million richer as the beneficiaries of the late couple’s frugality and generosity.

The recipients, all of whom are from the Lowell-Alto-Clarksville area just east of Grand Rapids, were bequeathed certificates of deposit ranging in value from $5,000 to well more than $100,000. Their estate was valued at $2.9 million and included the CDs, the farm, and some stocks.

“Isn’t that something?” said Sandra VanWeelden, 72, whose family, including three grown children, received more than $250,000 from the Hatches, who never had children of their own and lived into their early 90s.
Judging by the amount of money they doled out, the couple had many friends, including fellow parishioners at Alto United Methodist Church, where many of the beneficiaries are members.

“We – the whole church – are obviously grateful to them, and grateful to God that he gave them to us,” said the Rev. Dean Bailey.

Go here for the rest of the story.