January 29, 2008

CNNMoney, AP, and the Not-So-’Durable’ Goods Report

Where did the story about the “durable” goods report go?

Y’know, the one that I found out about in this CNNMoney e-mail this morning….

CNNmoneyEmailDurableGoods0108

….. and the one referred to on this CNNMoney index page (middle story, middle column):

CNNmoneyHomePageIndex0108

In the “Highlights” from this morning’s Census Bureau announcement, the underlying news source, the word “durable” appears seven times.

But “the AP report” referred to in the e-mail, as CNNMoney carried it, did not contain the word “durable” once, either in its headline or its content.

Here are the first few paragraphs from that CNNMoney story:

Factory orders strongest in five months
Commerce Department says big-ticket orders jumped 5.2% in December, well above forecasts.

Orders to factories for big-ticket manufactured goods soared in December by the largest amount in five months, welcome news for an economy buffeted by talk of recession.

The 5.2 percent increase in orders was a surprise finish for the manufacturing sector at year’s end — a segment of the economy considered to have had a poor year.

The increase in orders, as reported Tuesday by the Commerce Department, was far larger than had been expected. The strength came from a big increase in demand for commercial aircraft, but even excluding the transportation sector, orders posted a solid 2.6 percent gain.

The December orders increase was more than double what had been expected.

This, by the way, is very good news for the economy, indicating that the weakness shown in manufacturing in December’s Institute for Supply Management report might be very short-lived.

But getting back to this “durable” thing — A visit to the full-length AP story by Martin “Talk of Recession” Crutsinger reveals that he at least put the word “durable” into the final paragraph, while whoever wrote AP’s headline had the sense to use the correct descriptive word (”Durable Goods Orders Rise by 5.2 Percent”). CNN edited out Crutsinger’s final few paragraphs, changed the headline to refer uninformatively to “Factory Orders,” and eliminated the word “durable” in the process.

Am I making a mountain out of a molehill? Perhaps. But it seems that first Crutsinger, and especially CNN, were trying very hard to avoid using the word that actually describes the underlying report. Why?

The fact also remains that if CNN, and to a lesser extent the AP and Crutsinger, had set out to make it difficult to find their stories, they could hardly have done a better job. A search done on “durable goods,” with or without quotes, probably won’t pull up the full AP report in its primary results (other stories using the word “durable” more often will come in ahead of it), and almost definitely won’t list what CNN posted at all.

So these “durable dodges” are either examples of sloppiness that at the same time hurt CNN and AP (because of fewer page hits), or “clever” hiding (conscious or subconscious) of pretty good economic news. You make the call.

Cross-posted at NewsBusters.org.

3 Comments

  1. Given that the manufacturing component is a shrinking part of the GDP due to larger growth in other sectors, how well does this component track the GDP? 5.2% rise might indicate a robust GDP # tomorrow?

    Comment by dscott — January 29, 2008 @ 4:44 pm

  2. #1, I think orders increasing in 5.2% December bodes well for actual manufacturing activity and production (which becomes part of GPD) being good in January — but it doesn’t have a direct impact until the goods are produced (to a lesser extent while they’re being produced, since they are tracked as work-in-process inventories).

    Also, it looks like inventories increased a bit in Dec., according to the Commerce report, so there shouldn’t be any negative impact on GDP from inventory declines like there was last year.

    I think it means that Dec.’s ISM mfg. contraction was a hiccup and not a fever (crossing fingers). I think things are looking OK for tomorrow, but ya never know….

    Comment by TBlumer — January 29, 2008 @ 4:54 pm

  3. [...] Durable Goods Report showed December 2007 with a 5.2% growth, how is that a sign of recession? http://www.bizzyblog.com/2008/01/29/cnnmoney-ap-and-the-not-so-durable-goods-report/ Yet the CNN buried the idea that manufacturing was up. Last time I checked, any number in the plus [...]

    Pingback by Outing the MSM &laquo Publius’ Forum — February 3, 2008 @ 6:00 am

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