Wisconsin and Hawaii: Another Pair of Obama Blowouts (See Update)
Up at Drudge right now, concerning the Wisconsin exit polls:
Obama Won:
Women (51-49)
All age groups under 65
All education levels
All regions of the state — urban, suburban and ruralVoters without college degrees (50-48)
Democrats (50-49)
Whites (53-46)
White men (59-38)
Voters who decided in the last week (58-42)Won or tied voters of all income levels
Tied among white women
Tied among union members
Tied among union households
The networks called Wisconsin for Obama lickety-split after the Wisconsin polls closed.
As has been the case for several weeks now, the only question appears to be how much the candidate I often refer to as BOOHOO (Barack O-bomba Overseas Hussein “Obambi†Obama) will beat expectations.
The early answer appears to be, “by quite a bit, as usual.” The Real Clear Politics average going in was Obama by 4.3%. With 39% counted, he’s up 56-43 (ABC site here; Fox YouDecide here), overachieving vs. the polls by more than 8%.
Related, as Obama’s delegate lead continues to grow — I understand from what I have read and heard at various places today that:
- “Pledged” delegates to the Democratic National Convention do NOT necessarily have to vote as they are “supposed to” based on the actual voting and the respective rules of their states.
- Hillary Clinton’s minions are considering going after pledged Obama delegates in hopes of getting them to change.
My February 10 prediction (”Write it down: The only way Hillary can win the nomination is if she steals it.” — and that she won’t become president in any case) looks like it has more truth to it than even I thought when I did the predicting.
If the Clinton campaign really turns a significant number of “pledged” Obama delegates into Hillary supporters, the “never happen” rupture and eventual split in the Democratic party between African-Americans/disaffected rank and file and the party elites may very well come to pass. Cynthia McKinney, Ralph Nader, and the Greens could turn into a real party instead of a sideshow if the Clintons take it all to the limit.
I’ll update further tomorrow morning. By that time, Hawaii will be official. A Pajamas column demands my attention.
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UPDATE, Feb. 20, 7:30 a.m. — Obama wins Hawaii’s caucus by 52. Go here for more.
Someone should inform the Arab (Obama) that he can’t end the war in 09. The war has been over for quite a while and the American military is establishing security so the people in Iraq can live in peace. The only thing he can do in 09 is create a disaster that cost millions of lives just as the democrats did to Vietnam. If Obama and his type had been around during WWI or WWII we, the few who survived, would be speaking a different language and saying yes sir, no sir, may I please to some dictator.
Comment by Scrapiron — February 20, 2008 @ 12:07 am