Comments on: Dem Delegate Math (031008) http://www.bizzyblog.com/2008/03/10/dem-delegate-math/ The Business End of the Blogosphere Wed, 15 Oct 2008 23:03:01 +0000 http://wordpress.org/?v=2.5 By: TBlumer http://www.bizzyblog.com/2008/03/10/dem-delegate-math/#comment-120995 TBlumer Wed, 12 Mar 2008 02:43:47 +0000 http://www.bizzyblog.com/2008/03/10/dem-delegate-math/#comment-120995 Open note to "worried" re your unposted comment -- I tried to e-mail you at the addy provided, and I don't think I got a response (though it's possible I missed it). If you could make your comment a bit less repetitive, put para breaks into it, and make it generally easier on the eyes, I'll consider posting it. If you need your original text back, let me know. I will delete the comment at midnight ET on Wednesday if I have not heard from you. Open note to “worried” re your unposted comment — I tried to e-mail you at the addy provided, and I don’t think I got a response (though it’s possible I missed it). If you could make your comment a bit less repetitive, put para breaks into it, and make it generally easier on the eyes, I’ll consider posting it.

If you need your original text back, let me know.

I will delete the comment at midnight ET on Wednesday if I have not heard from you.

]]> By: TBlumer http://www.bizzyblog.com/2008/03/10/dem-delegate-math/#comment-120957 TBlumer Tue, 11 Mar 2008 02:20:01 +0000 http://www.bizzyblog.com/2008/03/10/dem-delegate-math/#comment-120957 1. Assuming no changes in superdels, she would have to win 123 more primary delegates out of the 617 that remain. That margin would have to be 370-247, or almost exactly 60-40. 2. I did that after Super Tuesday, and will update after MS on Tuesday night. I'm pretty sure the Clintons are including FL and MI EVs in their public statements, which is BS. 3. Not worth calculating, because the GOP sometimes does winner take all but often doesn't, so it doesn't mean much. <a href="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/republican_delegate_count.html" rel="nofollow">HERE</A> The GOP allocation methodology is less proportional in general. If you take a state by 20-25 points, odds are you will get almost all the delegates. Dems tend to be much more proportional in allocation. 1. Assuming no changes in superdels, she would have to win 123 more primary delegates out of the 617 that remain. That margin would have to be 370-247, or almost exactly 60-40.

2. I did that after Super Tuesday, and will update after MS on Tuesday night. I’m pretty sure the Clintons are including FL and MI EVs in their public statements, which is BS.

3. Not worth calculating, because the GOP sometimes does winner take all but often doesn’t, so it doesn’t mean much.
HERE

The GOP allocation methodology is less proportional in general. If you take a state by 20-25 points, odds are you will get almost all the delegates. Dems tend to be much more proportional in allocation.

]]> By: Brian C. http://www.bizzyblog.com/2008/03/10/dem-delegate-math/#comment-120952 Brian C. Mon, 10 Mar 2008 20:46:04 +0000 http://www.bizzyblog.com/2008/03/10/dem-delegate-math/#comment-120952 Very nice totals. This is what I've been thinking all along, super delegates. Can you include some other numbers? 1. What it would take for Hillary to walk into the convention dead even with Obama? 2. An "electoral College" match up - that is, if Hillary was running against Obama in the general election. I haven’t seen this stat anywhere. 3. The delegate count if the Democrats used a Republican method of assigning delegates, i.e.: winner takes all. I think I have seen this but I forgot the totals. Thanks! I'm a man of numbers! Very nice totals. This is what I’ve been thinking all along, super delegates.

Can you include some other numbers?
1. What it would take for Hillary to walk into the convention dead even with Obama?
2. An “electoral College” match up - that is, if Hillary was running against Obama in the general election. I haven’t seen this stat anywhere.
3. The delegate count if the Democrats used a Republican method of assigning delegates, i.e.: winner takes all. I think I have seen this but I forgot the totals.

Thanks! I’m a man of numbers!

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