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	<title>Comments on: Couldn&#8217;t Help But Comment (042808, Morning)</title>
	<atom:link href="http://www.bizzyblog.com/2008/04/28/couldnt-help-but-comment-042808-morning/feed/" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml" />
	<link>http://www.bizzyblog.com/2008/04/28/couldnt-help-but-comment-042808-morning/</link>
	<description>The Business End of the Blogosphere</description>
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		<title>By: TBlumer</title>
		<link>http://www.bizzyblog.com/2008/04/28/couldnt-help-but-comment-042808-morning/comment-page-1/#comment-122023</link>
		<dc:creator>TBlumer</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 28 Apr 2008 14:51:48 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.bizzyblog.com/2008/04/28/couldnt-help-but-comment-042808-morning/#comment-122023</guid>
		<description>A. No, it&#039;s not, and it didn&#039;t have to be short-lived. The SEC and underwriters, with the help of a gullible public, allowing venture-backed companies to go public without a track record, did.

B. There has been an increase, just not dramatic:
http://www.nvca.org/ffax.html

The table at the link does not track &quot;angel&quot; investments. Informal investigation indicates that it increased during 2003 for at least a few years (and still may be).

Thanks to the Enron overreaction, SARBOX has closed off going public for a large number of fast-growth companies that might have done so before it was around. If formal VCs don&#039;t have a good exit strategy, they won&#039;t invest, and more fundamental than that, they won&#039;t raise the money. The only remaining exit is buyout by another company, which means you have to have something they want, which is a tougher bet.

&lt;strong&gt;Addendum:&lt;/strong&gt; If cap gains tax receipts in 2002 (before the 2003 changes) were about $65 bil and the rate was 20%, that means there was $325 bil (65/.2) in reportable transactions (roughly, some people have a lower rate). With cap-gains receipts at $122 bil in 2007 and the rate at 15%, there was $813 bil (122/.15) in reportable transactions. That&#039;s almost a half-trillion more $ that moved around to a different and better (on balance) use, instead of being locked in because the person didn&#039;t want to pay the tax. It just happens that not as much as would be desired went in to VC, thanks to SARBOX.

Link (although the author doesn&#039;t see what is totally obvious, and comes to the totally wrong conclusion):
http://time-blog.com/curious_capitalist/2008/01/do_capital_gains_tax_cuts_incr.html

In the tech world any more, a company hoping for a buyout exit is almost saying, &quot;We hope Microsoft or Google will want us.&quot; Not many can say that.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>A. No, it&#8217;s not, and it didn&#8217;t have to be short-lived. The SEC and underwriters, with the help of a gullible public, allowing venture-backed companies to go public without a track record, did.</p>
<p>B. There has been an increase, just not dramatic:<br />
<a href="http://www.nvca.org/ffax.html" rel="nofollow">http://www.nvca.org/ffax.html</a></p>
<p>The table at the link does not track &#8220;angel&#8221; investments. Informal investigation indicates that it increased during 2003 for at least a few years (and still may be).</p>
<p>Thanks to the Enron overreaction, SARBOX has closed off going public for a large number of fast-growth companies that might have done so before it was around. If formal VCs don&#8217;t have a good exit strategy, they won&#8217;t invest, and more fundamental than that, they won&#8217;t raise the money. The only remaining exit is buyout by another company, which means you have to have something they want, which is a tougher bet.</p>
<p><strong>Addendum:</strong> If cap gains tax receipts in 2002 (before the 2003 changes) were about $65 bil and the rate was 20%, that means there was $325 bil (65/.2) in reportable transactions (roughly, some people have a lower rate). With cap-gains receipts at $122 bil in 2007 and the rate at 15%, there was $813 bil (122/.15) in reportable transactions. That&#8217;s almost a half-trillion more $ that moved around to a different and better (on balance) use, instead of being locked in because the person didn&#8217;t want to pay the tax. It just happens that not as much as would be desired went in to VC, thanks to SARBOX.</p>
<p>Link (although the author doesn&#8217;t see what is totally obvious, and comes to the totally wrong conclusion):<br />
<a href="http://time-blog.com/curious_capitalist/2008/01/do_capital_gains_tax_cuts_incr.html" rel="nofollow">http://time-blog.com/curious_capitalist/2008/01/do_capital_gains_tax_cuts_incr.html</a></p>
<p>In the tech world any more, a company hoping for a buyout exit is almost saying, &#8220;We hope Microsoft or Google will want us.&#8221; Not many can say that.</p>
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		<title>By: Tony B.</title>
		<link>http://www.bizzyblog.com/2008/04/28/couldnt-help-but-comment-042808-morning/comment-page-1/#comment-122018</link>
		<dc:creator>Tony B.</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 28 Apr 2008 13:24:45 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.bizzyblog.com/2008/04/28/couldnt-help-but-comment-042808-morning/#comment-122018</guid>
		<description>It is doubtful that the capital gains tax cut of 1997 caused the spike in venture capital funding.  Regardless, the VC funding boom was short-lived.   

Why did the 2003 capital gains rate cut fail to trigger another spike in venture capital activity?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>It is doubtful that the capital gains tax cut of 1997 caused the spike in venture capital funding.  Regardless, the VC funding boom was short-lived.   </p>
<p>Why did the 2003 capital gains rate cut fail to trigger another spike in venture capital activity?</p>
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