KY-OR Primaries Near-Dead Thread
Links:
- Fox News (click on “May 20″ for results).
- ABC Links — Kentucky, Oregon.
- Kentucky State Board of Elections.
- Oregon SOS Elections Division (link to actual results isn’t up yet).
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10:37 p.m. — I’ll wait until a half-decent hour tomorrow morning to look at Oregon.
10:35 p.m. — Didn’t think it was possible, but Obama did even worse among non-African-Americans in Kentucky than he did in West Virginia:

Kentucky’s African-American turnout is based on the state’s 7.75% AA population makeup, increased by a factor similar to that actually seen in previous primaries to account for heavy interest and very heavy Democrat-leaning AA registrations.
Last week, I estimated that Obama’s percentage of the non-AA vote was between 21.55% and 22.3%.
As I said last week, “If this isn’t the most severe shellacking an allegedly presumptive presidential nominee of a major party has received in all of American history, I want to see what is.” Make that successive shellackings.
In Indiana and North Carolina two weeks ago, Obama got 41% and 35% of the AA vote.
Anyone else noticing a trend? This is death-wish material — and the Obama supporters appear poised to shut off the very idea of a debate over which of the two candidates has the better chance in the general. Of course, things can change in 5-1/2 months, but they can get still worse for Obama, as has been the case ever since shortly after Super Tuesday.
10:05 p.m. — At ABC, it’s Clinton by 35 points (65% - 30%) with 99% counted. The non-African-American vote calculator has been put into operation; results will be up shortly. The KY Board of Elections has what appears to be final numbers, with a 35-1/2 point Clinton blowout.
10:00 p.m. — I didn’t get too fired up for tonight, but the margins in KY and OR are worth watching. We’ll know KY pretty quickly. OR is, as I understand it, a mail-in thing, so I’m not sure of the immediacy of results.
As explained several times previously, this is a near-dead thread because Democratic Party rules enable even pledged delegates to change their minds at the August Democratic Convention.
In Kentucky, Mrs. Clinton is expected to win in a landslide, and Old Media says it will mean nothing.
Yeah, right — just another potential swing state that looks to be out of reach for Team Obama.
In Oregon, Obama is favored. I’d say he should win by 10, or some doubts should be raised. I’m not saying they will; I’m saying they should be.










Come on Tom he picked up 6%. Lay off. he got 35%.
Comment by Ben Keeler — May 21, 2008 @ 5:03 pm
#1 Ben, no he did not:
http://abcnews.go.com/politics/elections/state?state=KY&ref=ipb
Clinton 459,124 65.5% 37 Delegates
Obama 209,778 30.0% 14 Delegates
Uncommitted 18,059
Edwards (from KY site) 14,203
He got his butt kicked from Covington to Bowling Green, and from Paducah to Pikeville.
Comment by TBlumer — May 21, 2008 @ 9:52 pm