Michigan Shows That Supply-Side Econ Also Works When You Raise Taxes….
…. but in the wrong direction:
….. the latest news of Michigan’s deepening budget woe is a national warning of what happens when you raise taxes in a weak economy.
Officials in Lansing reported this month that the state faces a revenue shortfall between $350 million and $550 million next budget year. This is a major embarrassment for Governor Jennifer Granholm, the second-term Democrat who shut down the state government last year until the Legislature approved Michigan’s biggest tax hike in a generation. Her tax plan raised the state income tax rate to 4.35% from 3.9%, and increased the state’s tax on gross business receipts by 22%. Ms. Granholm argued that these new taxes would raise some $1.3 billion in new revenue that could be “invested” in social spending and new businesses and lead to a Michigan renaissance.
Not quite. Six months later one-third of the expected revenues have vanished as the state’s economy continues to struggle. Income tax collections are falling behind estimates, as are property tax receipts and those from the state’s transaction tax on home sales.
When a government increases taxes on economic activity, it gets less of it, meaning that tax collections come in lower than expected, e.g., Michigan.
When a government cuts taxes on economic activity a bit, it gets a bit more economic activity, meaning that the expected reduction in tax collections ends up not being as high as expected.
When a government cuts taxes by enough to really matter, its get lots more economic activity, often to the point where tax collections end up being higher — sometimes a lot higher — than they were before, e.g., the 2001 and especially the 2003 Bush tax cuts.
Yet the reality denial by those who believe they can tax us into prosperity, like Michigan’s Granholm (and in Ohio, former Governor Bob Taft and the go-along General Assembly that cooperated with him), never stops.










