October 16, 2008

Gallup’s New ‘Likely Voter’ Category: Likely to Find More Obama Voters

Just in time for the final weeks of the presidential election campaign, Gallup has added a nuance to its polling presentations.

Instead of merely presenting “registered” and “likely” voters, the polling firm has decided to present a third category: an “expanded” version of likely voters. This third category is in addition to its “traditional” likely-voter presentation.

My look at Gallup’s October 12-14 results indicates that the “expanded” version is indeed likely — likely to find Obama voters, and that’s about it.

First, here’s the organization’s explanation of the new category (HT frequent commenter Joe C):

GallupLVexpandedExplained1008

Here is the October 12-14 presentation of the three categories:

GallupPollNumbersOct12to14MvO

To get to the new “expanded” version from the original, more time-tested “traditional” result, here is roughly what the breakdown between Obama, McCain, and others has to be (the “expanded” column was decreased by 0.5% each for McCain and Obama so that the total percentages would add up to 100%):

GallupLVmethodsDiffBreakdowns1008

Yeah, right. 86% – 9% of the 159 new “expanded” likely voters go to Obama. How convenient.

This doesn’t even pass the stench test, let alone the smell test.

Cross-posted at NewsBusters.org.

And They Made Fun of Dan Quayle?

Filed under: Taxes & Government — Tom @ 11:20 am

I think Dan could count past three.

Biden apparently can’t:

He says that this is also what “Barack says.”

Imagine — Two guys who can’t count past three, one election away from the two highest offices in the land.

Cracked Krikorian: A Total Loss

Filed under: OH-02 US House — Tom @ 10:37 am

A phone call I received this morning motivated me to jump on this now instead of waiting a few days.

Let me first be clear about something: After her vote FOR the pork-expanded “bailout” with the made-up $850 billion price tag, on the heels of her vote AGAINST the original “bailout” with the made-up $700 billion price tag, I’m not inclined to give Jean Schmidt many more, if any, passes for questionable votes.

In fact, I believe she needs a credible challenge from the right.

The problem is, after emerging from a crowded field in the June 2005 Special Primary, she’s never had one.

Certainly not House Bank scandalized, scam-supporting Bob McEwen, whose habit of voting absentee in Ohio while living in Virginia for nearly a decade may have been the “inspiration” for the vote-fraud-on-steroids tactics being carried out from a house in Columbus that were detailed by Michelle Malkin yesterday.

There have been other challengers, but, among other things, they were too closely or too recently associated with the type of people who think the idea of Ms. Schmidt being abducted while in Iraq and not returned is somehow funny. Ha ha.

If Jean Schmidt is going to get a credible challenge from the right, it’s going to have to wait until 2010.

Though the allegedly conservative person who is trying to challenge this year, David Krikorian, has put on a good game face, he has shown himself to be every bit as unhinged, if not moreso, as many of the challengers who preceded him.

I’ve known about Krikorian’s unhinged nature for some time. Alas, I’ve been unable to disclose what I’ve learned, and vaguely referring to it would carry little weight.

Thus, I have been hoping (more like expecting) that Krikorian would reveal his true nature publicly in some other way between now and Election Day.

Now he has.

Jean Schmidt was hit by a car while jogging last week.

Did challenger David Krikorian express sympathy for Schmidt’s situation and unconditionally wish for her full recovery from injuries she suffered?

Uh, not exactly.

Instead, Krikorian questioned Schmidt’s claims about the specifics of the incident:

“Um, I’m going to say, we are – how do I put this – elements of the representative’s story do not add up,” Krikorian said. “There is no way that at 6 a.m. in the morning, or 5:45 in the morning, she claims that a car was approaching her and it didn’t slow down. I’m assuming that it had its headlights on before it hit her, she turns her back. Two things that don’t make sense to me – One, she said she thought it was a gray car and a man was driving it. And I don’t see how you could make that assertion when it’s pitch black, foggy, and the headlights are facing her. You can’t tell what color the car is, and you certainly can’t tell who’s driving the car, especially if you turn your back.

“Secondly, she claims the car must have damage to it, based on it hitting her, yet apparently she was undamaged. All I can say is, you don’t get hit by a vehicle and walk away from it, and the vehicle has damage to it. I don’t see how she can make that assertion. I’ve talked to a lot of people who think the story’s phony. I’m not saying the story’s phony, but a lot of people out there think it is. And we’re looking into it.”

Well, “phony” this:

Schmidt injuries more serious

Rep. Jean Schmidt is recuperating at her Miami Township home in Clermont County after suffering two broken ribs and two broken vertebra as a result of being hit by a car while running along a road last week.

Here’s Krikorian’s attempted walk-back:

“Well, that would certainly be new information that would then corroborate her story. But Jean Schmidt has a history of issues with the truth, and you know, I certainly don’t want to make an assertion where there’s none to be made, and the way it was initially reported in the paper doesn’t make a whole lot of sense.”

“Now it makes sense. I had not heard that before. Now it seems like maybe she was hit. You can’t get hit by a car and not suffer injuries. Now we’re hearing reports that she did in fact suffer injuries, and if that’s the case, I wish her a speedy recovery.”

Way too little, way too late, pal.

David Krikorian has accomplished the seemingly impossible, making Nate “She didn’t really run that marathon” Noy look reasonable by comparison. The only thing dented around here is Krikorian’s credibility — which is so damaged that his campaign should be declared a total loss.

What the public has seen of Krikorian unhinged has the ancillary benefit of making the claim I made earlier more believable. Yes, there is more, but I would need permission to reveal it. For now, I’m not inclined to ask for it.

If David Krikorian were smart, he’d drop out of the Second District Congressional race to save himself further embarrassment and Second District voters further nausea. Alas, he almost certainly won’t.

Some inept or unfit challengers have the redeeming value of being entertaining to watch, even if only inadvertently so. Krikorian is not one of them. I’ve officially tuned him out as unworthy of consideration. Voters in Ohio’s Second Congressional District should do likewise.

Couldn’t Help But Notice ….. (101608, Morning)

Sensible conservatism is so discredited (/sarc) that Steven Harper & Company picked up 19 seats in Parliament in yesterday’s Canadian elections (from 124 to 143, 12 short of a majority), while the once uber-powerful Liberals dropped from 103 to 76. As recently as 2000, the Liberals had 172 seats; in 2004, they had 135.

This 56% Liberal decline in eight years (44% in just the last four) has occurred despite the fact that the Canadian press is at least as insufferably biased towards Liberals as ours is towards Democrats.

Harper has a lot of work to do. One thing he needs to get on with is the task of de-fanging the speech police at the provincial human rights commissions who have been going after the likes of Mark Steyn.

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News they won’t use (HT Matt Sheffield at NewsBusters) — “The agent in charge of the Secret Service field office in Scranton said allegations that someone yelled “kill him” when presidential hopeful Barack Obama’s name was mentioned during Tuesday’s Sarah Palin rally are unfounded.”

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More news they won’t use (HT Scott Whitlock at NewsBusters) — “Democratic vice-presidential candidate Sen. Joseph R. Biden Jr. has paid more than $2 million in campaign cash to his family members, their businesses and employers over the years, a practice that watchdogs criticize as rife with potential conflicts of interest.”

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Even more news they won’t use (HT Terry Trippany at NewsBusters) — “(Bill) Ayers’ office door is decorated with pictures of Mumia Abu-Jamal, Che Guevara and Malcolm X.”

Two of the three are or were cold-blooded killers dressed in radical chic.

“Obviously” (/sarc), “The One” I refer to as “Mr. BOOHOO-OUCH, PUNK” (Barack O-bomba Overseas Hussein ObambiObama – Objectively Unfit Coddler of Haters, Previously Unaccomplished Nonsupporter of Kin) never visited Ayers at his University of Illinois at Chicago office during all of those Annenberg Challenge, Woods Foundation, etc. years.

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IBD has the best editorial in the past 24 hours (“One Day, One Vote”) — “Remember ‘Election Day,’ when you actually had to show up on the first Tuesday after the first Monday in November and prove who you were? Making it easier to vote made it easier to cheat.” Read the whole thing.

Three points jump out:

  • First, “early voting” by the able-bodied, even if miraculously fraud-free, is irresponsible voting.
  • Second, Oregon, which does all voting by mail, has no way of knowing whether it has representative government.
  • Third, an Ohio General Assembly doing its job would impeach Secretary of State Jennifer Brunner for consciously refusing to do her most important job — assuring the integrity of Buckeye State elections — for nearly two years. Instead, she’s done all she can to undermine it. As IBD says, “It’s a sad day when a court has to order a state’s top election official to take steps to fight massive and orchestrated vote fraud.”

Positivity: EMS saving lives in a whole new way

Filed under: Positivity — Tom @ 7:15 am

From McDowell, NC:

Published: October 12, 2008

McDowell’s Emergency Medical Services (EMS) is on the pulse of up-to-date treatments.
Beginning today, they’ll be using therapeutic hypothermia – big words for a relatively simple procedure that could greatly increase the quality of life for heart attack patients.

In layman’s terms, it involves lowering a person’s body temperature once he’s been resuscitated from cardiac arrest.

“The idea behind this concept is to preserve brain and neurological function,” said EMS Director William Kehler, “and to preserve or maintain the quality of life of the individual.”

According to a recent article in EMS magazine, out of 24,000 EMS agencies in the nation, only about 100 have adopted this protocol. McDowell will be among very few, possibly only two, in the state to use the procedure.

“We’re definitely the first in western North Carolina to implement it,” Kehler stated. “This is just an example of how this agency is staying abreast of current research and implementing protocols based upon strong data and good patient outcomes. We are committed to bringing the most advanced pre-hospital care to the citizens of McDowell County.”

When a person becomes lifeless and is not breathing, his body temperature rises, increasing the potential for swelling in the brain and cellular damage throughout the body.

Kehler said the goal with therapeutic hypothermia is to use cold IV solutions and ice packs to drop the person’s temperature to 93 degrees and maintain it.

“This procedure is aimed at … decreasing the chance of brain damage and increasing the chance of survival for the patient,” he stated.

When asked why so few EMS agencies were using therapeutic hypothermia, Kehler said he believes it deals in part with set-up costs and that the procedure has been widely studied but not widely published in the pre-hospital setting.

EMS magazine also contributed the lack of response to the low number of medical facilities that follow through with the treatment once paramedics begin it.

“We have partnered with Memorial Mission Hospital in Asheville and Spartanburg Regional Medical Center to accept patients we’ve initiated the protocol on,” Kehler stated. “They already have the protocol in place to continue the treatment.”

He added that the implementation is costing McDowell very little because the ambulances were already equipped with the required monitors.

Kehler said local paramedics have undergone extensive training for months on therapeutic hypothermia provided by a number of instructors, including Jim Mobley, the program director for Regional One Air Medical of Spartanburg, S.C. Mobley, whose agency was the first air medical program in the world to use the procedure, is considered an expert in the field of therapeutic hypothermia. Kehler stated that local EMS Maj. Eugene Edwards has played a vital role in getting the procedure in place locally.

Regional One implemented the protocol in 2005, Mobley stated in a telephone interview last week.

“When the American Heart Association endorsed it, we decided to make the leap,” he said. “So many people are reluctant to try it because it goes beyond the norm. This is therapy that few agencies offer, but everyone should receive. The benefits of it are beyond the wildest imagination, just short of a miracle.” …..

Go here for the rest of the story.