October 31, 2010

The Final Columbus Dispatch Poll

First, the numbers (article; graphic):

  • Kasich-Strickland-Other — 49-47-4
  • Portman-Fisher-Other — 56-40-4
  • DeWine-Cordray-Other — 44-50-6
  • Yost-Pepper-Other — 47-46-6
  • Husted-O’Shaughnessy-Other — 52-42-6
  • Mandel-Boyce-Other — 51-42-7

The two Ohio Supreme Court races show Republican routs.

Quick comments:

If past form holds — that is, if the Dispatch poll differs from actual results by as much as it did in 2006, when the average Democratic margin was overstated by more than 12% in the six races above — it’s totally over, and Republicans will run the table.

My Clue of the Day that the Dispatch hasn’t figured out how to get representative sensible conservative response: Rasmussen has Portman up by 24, compared to the Dispatch’s 16.

Memo to ORPINO (the Ohio Republican Party In Name Only): Please note that Mike DeWine is from all appearances by far the weakest link on the ticket.

Exit questions:

  • Has the Dispatch found a way to identify conservative voters it clearly missed four years ago (and has also missed on other occasions)?
  • Will the Dispatch’s corrections still not be enough because of higher voter intensity on the GOP side this year?

The answer, as someone infamous has said: “That’s what elections are for.”

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4 Comments

  1. [...] The Final Columbus Dispatch Poll – BizzyBlog Kasich-Strickland-Other — 49-47-4; Portman-Fisher-Other — 56-40-4; DeWine-Cordray-Other — 44-50-6; Yost-Pepper-Other — 47-46-6; Husted-O’Shaughnessy-Other — 52-42-6; Mandel-Boyce-Other — 51-42-7 … If past form holds — that is, if the Dispatch poll differs from actual results by as much as it did in 2006, when the average Democratic margin was overstated by more than 12% in the six races above — it’s totally over, and Republicans will run the table. … Jan 01, 1970 12:00am [...]

    Pingback by cordray and dispatch poll | A CERTAIN SOMEONE — October 31, 2010 @ 12:58 pm

  2. Running Dewine just killed me. The guy betrayed our principles, exemplified by the Gang of 14 sellout.

    So he acts like a RINO, gets routed in the last election, and yet the Ohio Republican Party runs him on the state level? What, he couldn’t get a real job and the party felt bad for him?

    Unfortunately, the Democrats have proven themselves, to the last one, so far left of center, I’m going to hold my nose and vote for all Republicans.

    Just this time, I know conservatives will hold their feet to the fire and make them do the right thing.

    Comment by themachiavellian — October 31, 2010 @ 3:48 pm

  3. #2, it isn’t just running DeWine, it’s clearing the field for him after a credible challenger started making it clear that he’d be a problem.

    They’re going to underachieve. Even if they run the table, they will have underachieved, and they’ll still pat themselves on the back for riding the wave while doing nothing to cause and a lot to prevent from being even bigger. Even given the Dispatch’s history, it shouldn’t be this close, and they still could conceivably blow it. Like the Bengals, they can figure out a way.

    Meanwhile in MI, the Guv’s race is GOP +20. I know Strickland is an an incumbent, but he’s a badly damaged incumbent.

    Comment by TBlumer — October 31, 2010 @ 5:19 pm

  4. There is an alternative to DeWine…it’s Robert Owens. AG is not an apportionment board seat and as such DeWine is collateral damage to punish the ORP for their BS. The undervote will say it all.

    Comment by Anon — November 1, 2010 @ 8:00 pm

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