About Perry’s Social Security ‘Ponzi Scheme’ Contention
In a time of universal deceit, telling the truth is a revolutionary act. – George Orwell
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We may not be in a time of universal deceit, but there is a “progressive” universe with its nexus in Washington where deceit is the coin of the realm.
One of the longest-running progressive deceits is Social Security. The falsehoods began early (e.g., in 1936, the government told citizens that $90 per year would be “the most you will ever pay“), and continue to this day in the discussions of an alleged “Trust Fund,” which in reality consists almost entirely of IOUs from a government that is itself $13.7 trillion in debt.
Texas Governor Rick Perry has called Social Security a “bankrupt Ponzi scheme” — because, well, it is.
“Bankrupt” — As of the end of 2009, Social Security had an actuarial liability of $7.7 trillion. Recently revised data from the Congressional Budget Office indicates that the program, which began running at a cash deficit in 2009, will continue to do so indefinitely, and at an accelerating rate. If Social Security were a private pension plan instead of a government-sponsored program, it could not continue. In fact, the government wouldn’t allow it to continue.
“Ponzi scheme” — In August, the estimable Walter Williams wrote (bolds are mine):
Why is Social Security a better deal for today’s seniors? Just look at what they paid in. From 1937 to 1949, the maximum annual Social Security tax was $60. It remained under $200 until 1956. After 1956, Old Age, Survivors and Disability Insurance was added and in 1966, Medicare was added. It wasn’t until 1969 that maximum Social Security taxes exceeded $2,000. Today, the maximum annual Social Security tax is $13,000 and the maximum annual benefit is $25,000.
As with any Ponzi scheme, the people who get on board early make out. This is pointed out by Geoffrey Kollmann and Dawn Nuschler of the Congressional Research Service in their report “Social Security Reform” (October 2002) They say, “Until recent years, Social Security recipients received more, often far more, than the value of the Social Security taxes they paid. … For example, for workers who earned average wages and retired in 1980 at age 65, it took 2.8 years to recover the value of the retirement portion of the combined employee and employer shares of their Social Security taxes plus interest. For their counterparts who retired at age 65 in 2002, it will take 16.9 years. For those retiring in 2020, it will take 20.9 years.” My question is: How can anyone who draws out every penny he’s put into Social Security in a few years say that he’s not living at the expense of another?
In my opinion, it takes a special form of callousness and disregard for the welfare of future generations of Americans for today’s senior citizens to fight against reform. Nobody’s talking about abolition of federal senior programs. We must accept that serious mistakes were made and we must take compassionate corrective action. But what the heck! … “Both today’s politicians and seniors will be dead so why should they make sacrifices now to prevent an economic calamity decades off into the future?”
That Perry’s “bankrupt Ponzi scheme” contention is at all controversial demonstrates the verity of Orwell’s statement — which was, it turns out, aimed directly at Communists and their “progressive” sympathizers.
Williams is incorrect on one point. The “calamity” isn’t “decades off in the future.” It’s on the front sidewalk, walking towards the front door:
Our ever-growing spending, deficit and debt will soon reach a size (possibly in 2020 or sooner) when America can no longer borrow money to finance its deficit spending.
The year 2020 is when CBO projections indicate that “U.S. debt held by the public,” currently $9.135 trillion, or about 65% of gross domestic product (GDP), will hit 90% of GDP. Many economists believe that level of debt to be the trigger point where lenders either stop buying government bonds because of concerns over whether they’ll get paid back, or demand higher interest rates to compensate for the higher risk of default.
That’s only a decade from now. There are plenty of reasons to believe that one of the following will instead occur:
- We’ll reach the public debt-to-GDP ratio of 90% earlier than CBO’s somewhat rosy projections predict.
- We’ll learn that the trigger point really lower than 90% of GDP.
- The Federal Reserve and the government will decide to hyperinflate its way out of the problem. Ben Bernanke’s QE2 may be an indicator that, like it or not, they’re heading inexorably in that direction. If this happens, fortunes in financial-asset wealth held by individuals and families whose only “mistake” was to trust the system will be wiped out.
The Tea Party-driven wave may have come just in time. It needs to cut government down to size and create the conditions enabling free-market capitalism to save us — and quickly.









