Caddell and Schoen to Obama: Don’t Run
In the Wall Street Journal today, Democratic pollsters (in a pathetic preemmptive slap, the National Journal calls them “former Democratic pollsters”; they’re both Democrats right now, and they’re both pollsters right now; so like it or not guys, they’re “Democratic pollsters”) advocate that Barack Obama not run for reelection, and hand the Democratic Party’s nomination over to Hillary Clinton:
The Hillary Moment
President Obama can’t win by running a constructive campaign, and he won’t be able to govern if he does win a second term.When Harry Truman and Lyndon Johnson accepted the reality that they could not effectively govern the nation if they sought re-election to the White House, both men took the moral high ground and decided against running for a new term as president. President Obama is facing a similar reality—and he must reach the same conclusion.
He should abandon his candidacy for re-election in favor of a clear alternative, one capable not only of saving the Democratic Party, but more important, of governing effectively and in a way that preserves the most important of the president’s accomplishments. He should step aside for the one candidate who would become, by acclamation, the nominee of the Democratic Party: Secretary of State Hillary Clinton.
Never before has there been such an obvious potential successor—one who has been a loyal and effective member of the president’s administration, who has the stature to take on the office, and who is the only leader capable of uniting the country around a bipartisan economic and foreign policy.
Point A — As Rush said today, it’s more than likely not going to happen. The Narcissist-in-chief needs to be flattered and buttered up to be convinced that he should not run with arguments like:
- “This is beneath your dignity, bro; you need to go on and lead the whole world to a better place like you have America (cough, cough).”
- “We can tell you’re bored and not happy in the White House. Who wouldn’t be, when there’s so many people keeping you from fundamentally transforming America as fast you’d like?”
- “(this one’s mine) Hey, you need to get back to community organizing until you come back like Hugo Chavez and Fidel Castro did.”
Instead, later in their column, Caddell and Schoen observe that “By going down the re-election road and into partisan mode, the president has effectively guaranteed that the remainder of his term will be marred by the resentment and division that have eroded our national identity, common purpose, and most of all, our economic strength.” Does anyone think Barack Obama gives a damn about that, except to consider each item a good thing? Shoot, if that’s what will come from a second term, Obama is saying, “Sign me up!”
Point B — Some of us (that would include me) remember how radical (Black Panthers’ defense) and deceitful (pretending not to ever have known about Monica Lewinsky until the rest of us did) Hillary Clinton really is, and are not convinced that she would govern any differently from Obama. She might conceivably be more practical like her husband was at times, but when he was President she was seen as the one who was frustrated the most when nationalized health care failed (it was Hillary’s baby, after all) and was the most determined to pursue dirty opposition tactics like purloining opponents’ FBI files, discrediting Clinton’s female accusers, and the like.
Point C — In the highly likely event that Obama doesn’t handle withdrawing and staying out of the way well, as both LBJ and Truman did, he could end up discouraging his die-hard supporters from going over to Mrs. Clinton.
Point D — Team Obama will quickly remind everyone that in both previous instances where an incumbent Dem chose not to run, a Republican won the presidency (Dwight Eisenhower in 1952 over Adlai Stevenson, and Richard Nixon over Hubert Humphrey in 1968). In the latter case, Humphrey discouraged leftists who had wanted Gene McCarthy, the assassinated Bobby Kennedy, or George McGovern to get the nomination by refusing to say that he’d withdraw immediately from Vietnam. Hillary could similarly discourage the loony-left base if she doesn’t adopt every single one of Obama’s unfinished 2008 campaign planks, even the ones he’s flipped on (like Gitmo).
Unfortunately, I think Caddell and Schoen are critically wrong in the second part of their op-ed’s subhead above. If Obama wins a second term, he’ll govern by Executive Order, regulatory mandate, and other authoritarian means, and dare the opposition to stop him. Sadly, I wouldn’t bet on the opposition having the nerve to do what it must if that happens.
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UPDATE: Now that Rush has his post up, here are excerpts —
Here’s a pull quote from the piece. “If President Obama is not willing –” listen to this, now. “If President Obama is not willing to seize the moral high ground and step aside, then the two Democratic leaders in Congress, Sen. Harry Reid and Rep. Nancy Pelosi, must urge the president not to seek re-election — for the good of the party and most of all for the good of the country. And they must present the only clear alternative — Hillary Clinton.”
Now, the Schoen-Caddell plan comes down to putting the country above personal ambition. For that reason we know that this will fail.
… But if you had flattered him, if you had told him that there are greater things, that the reason things are going the way they are is because he’s just not challenged, this is just too small, that you can tell he’s bored, you can tell he’s not interested. We all can see that he and Michelle don’t like the White House. They don’t like living there. They would rather be anywhere else. Running this country is so uninteresting to him, so beneath his stature, so beneath his skill set, so beneath his intellect. The world is crying for a leader now, not just America, the world is crying for a leader, a leader that the United States will listen to. Then maybe you guys coulda gotten him to quit.

Oops, he supposedly did it again. Herman Cain, the GOP presidential candidate who has experience as a rocket scientist on his resume, made another allegedly “stupid” remark. Why, if you buy the press’s accounts of his statements, it’s hard to believe the guy can dress himself in the morning without hanging his pants over his head and putting his socks on his hands.






