November 19, 2011

Positivity: Benedict XVI praises newly beatified priest killed by Nazis

Filed under: Positivity — TBlumer @ 7:00 am

From Vatican City:

Nov 17, 2011 / 01:15 pm

After praying the Sunday Angelus, Pope Benedict praised the example of Father Carl Lampert, an Austrian priest who was killed by the Nazis in 1944 and beatified in his native country Nov. 13.

“In the dark time of National Socialism,” the Pope said, Fr. Lampert “clearly understood the meaning of the words of St. Paul: ‘We do not belong to the night or to the darkness.’”

“During one interrogation which could have led to his release, he testified with conviction: ‘I love my Church. I remain faithful to my Church and to the priesthood. I am on Christ’s side and I love His Church,’” the Pope recalled.

Pope Benedict entrusted those gathered with him in St. Peter’s Square on Nov. 13 to the intercession “of the new Blessed that we may participate with him in the joy of the Lord.”

… On Feb. 4, 1943, he was arrested along with 40 others and accused of high treason, espionage, undermining army morale and aiding the enemy.

Together with two other priests, Father Herbert Simoleit and Father Friedrich Lorenz, he was beheaded on Nov. 13, 1944. He died speaking the names of Jesus and Mary.

Go here for the full story.

November 18, 2011

AP Gets Fooled by a Christopher Walken Impersonator Who Has Been on the Radio for Years

You can’t make this up: The ever-careful Essential Global News Network known as the Associated Press actually believed that a guy who has been on a DC sports show for several football seasons impersonating Christopher Walken was actually Christopher Walken.

After excerpting several paragraphs from AP’s unbylined (naturally) mea culpa (saved here at host for future reference, fair use and discussion purposes), I’ll explain why this snafu really isn’t particularly surprising:

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DOL’s Solis Solves Job Market Problems, Moves on to Really Important Matter

Filed under: Economy,Taxes & Government — TBlumer @ 10:22 pm

It is good to know that Labor Secretary Hilda Solis is so confident that she and the rest of the Obama administration have solved the problems in the job market, and that measures of unemployment, underemployment, and discouragement are well on their way to reaching acceptable levels typical of those seen in a prosperous economy.

Ms. Solis has to have reached this point of public-policy nirvana because she put out a press release today about something for which she had no time in November 2009 (because she was obviously working sooooo hard on the helping the job market recover) or November 2010 (ditto).

But today, because things are finally under control, Helpful Hilda was for the first time able to address another important priority which she just couldn’t get to during her previous two years at the Department of Labor:
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Obama Admin’s USDA Holds Up Thousands of Fracking Jobs for Freaking Bogus Reasons

Filed under: Economy,General,Ohio Economy,Ohio Politics,Taxes & Government — TBlumer @ 6:45 pm

From Joel Gehrke at the Washington Examiner, appropriately placed in its Campaign 2012 section (headline truncated, which will be explained):

Obama USDA delays shale drilling

President Obama’s United States Department of Agriculture has delayed shale gas drilling in Ohio for up to six months by cancelling a mineral lease auction for Wayne National Forest (WNF). The move was taken in deference to environmentalists, on the pretext of studying the effects of hydraulic fracturing.

“Conditions have changed since the 2006 Forest Plan was developed,” announced WNF Supervisor Anne Carey on Tuesday. “The technology used in the Utica & Marcellus Shale formations need to be studied to see if potential effects to the surface are significantly different than those identified in the Forest Plan.” The study will take up to six months to complete. The WNF study reportedly “will focus solely on how it could affect forest land,” despite the significance of hydraulic fracturing to united proponents of the delay, “and not how it could affect groundwater.”

Speaking of the WNF gas drilling, one environmentalist group spokesman suggested that moving forward with drilling “could turn the Ohio Valley into Ozone Alley,” even though Wayne National Forest already has nearly 1300 oil and gas wells in operation which this study does not affect.

The Ohio Oil and Gas Energy Education Program (OOGEEP) recently estimated that drilling in the Utica shale, which is affected by the suspension of the mineral lease auctions, would produce up 204,500 jobs by 2015. [Update: the USDA estimates that the creation of only a few dozen to 200 jobs will be delayed by this study.]

The “200,000 jobs” part of the headline shouldn’t be there, but assuming that you can’t speed up the ramp-up of activity to full production, the total achievable job total of 204,500 cited has been inexcusably delayed by “up to” six months (which in regulatory-speak really means “six months minus one or two days at most if we care about deadlines, and much longer if we decide not to care about deadlines”).

There is no scientific basis for the delay, not only according to industry supporters — who “of course” have no credibility in the media because, after all, all they’re trying to do is produce things and employe people and may be make a little money for shareholders and owners while doing so (/sarc) — but according to EPA Director Lisa Jackson and, in a rare moment of honesty, the Environmental Defense Fund, as seen below:

FrackingSafePerEPA0511

FrackingSafePerEDF1010

This is nothing more than craven electioneering targeting a key swing state governed by a Republican. If things aren’t significantly better in Ohio in a year, Team Obama will say it’s all John Kasich’s fault, John Boehner’s fault, the fault of Ohio’s GOP congressional majority, its Statehouse majority, and anyone else registered as a Republican or participating in a Tea Party cause, when in fact Obama administration decisions like these in the environmental arena, which include many relating to coal and other resources too numerous to mention right now, are holding back Ohio from growing as it could be, and should be.

This administration proves on an almost daily basis in its environmental and regulatory decisions that it doesn’t give a damn about private-sector jobs and genuine economic growth, and that it doesn’t give a damn about the suffering of millions of unemployed, underemployed, and discouraged Americans.

Party of compassion my a**.

If there’s any way the Kasich administration in Ohio can challenge this delay, it should. ¶

¶ – Of course, that might mean focusing Attorney General Mike DeWine’s energies on improving the economic lot of Ohioans instead of letting his daughter decide what he’ll do on natural resource/environmental matters. So we can’t really know how that’s going to work out.

The Fundamental Violence of the Occupy Movement

Filed under: Activism,Economy,Taxes & Government — TBlumer @ 8:47 am

The Occupy Movement is (hopefully was) violent, coercive, and intimidating at its very core, even if its participants had never thrown a single rock or uttered a single expletive, as Sally Zelikovsky brilliantly explains at the American Thinker (bolds are mine):

… for those of us who have been following this closely, Occupy Oakland is riddled with the steady drumbeat of intimidation, violence and destruction; and the anarchists are not the only players.

At first the drumbeat is subtle, carefully tapping out a steady theme of defiance.

The very essence of the Occupation qua Occupation is coercive. It calls for squatting on public property and forcibly taking it over for the exclusive use of the Occupiers. When probed, squatters readily admit they intend to stay forever, take control of the means of production and Occupy Everything.

Occupiers bully their neighbors simply by “occupying” — blocking access to the plaza, streets and commerce.

Note the critical contrast with the Tea Party, which has always — always — organized its efforts in accordance with the relevant laws and regulations (not to mention cleaned up after itself), and has never — never — engaged in the type of bullying which is the established routine of the Occupiers.

Ms. Z continues:

Occupiers have force fed the public a constant diet of threats that there are more of them than us, this is just the beginning and the rich won’t know what hit them when the revolution comes. OWS poster boy, Michael Moore, recently bayed “When there are a million [of us], they won’t know what the F to do.”

They taunt industrious citizens and productive businesses with calls to confiscate property, seize control of public spaces and expropriate it all for themselves. For those who earn a good living, own a home and have a few investments, these taunts do not go unnoticed — the Occupiers will take by force that which property owners are not willing to give.

… As their efforts devolve into anarchy, will their enablers in the press and City Hall allow the Occupation to persist without enforcing the law? Will they continue to blame anarchists for the scandalous behavior of the entire group? Most importantly, while Rome burns, will they continue to characterize the movement as “mostly peaceful”?

The Occupy Movement became not “mostly peaceful” the minute it began violating park curfew and other laws, routinely disturbing the peace, and recklessly disrupting businesses and other peoples’ lives. Mayors enabling the Occupiers — especially Michael Bloomberg in New York City — have failed their cities’ law-abiding vast majorities. People living in urban areas don’t need another reason to vote with their feet and leave, but they’ve just been handed one.

Friday Off-Topic (Moderated) Open Thread (111811)

Filed under: Lucid Links — TBlumer @ 8:20 am

Rules are here. Possible comment fodder follows. Other topics are also fair game.

For today, this off-topic thread will be an Occupy-free zone. Friday’s “Occupy Update” is here.

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RomneyCare architect: Of Course It’s the Same as ObamaCare.” Related: “Romney: ‘I am not going to walk away from [Romneycare].’” Really, what’s it going to take for the GOP rank and file to force the RINOs to walk way from Romney?

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Herman Cain invented “gaffe” Update, via Rush Limbaugh (HT Right Scoop via Hot Air) –

  • “… on Libya, when you listen to the whole interview, the whole question and answer, he ended up getting Libya right.”
  • “Substantively Cain got it right on collective bargaining for federal unionized workers, and the editors got it wrong.”

As Rush noted, some federal unionized employees do have collective bargaining rights.

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The pro-traditional marriage side won a big victory in California yesterday. Aaron Worthing at Patterico’s place explains:

Whatever you think about referendums (I am personally wary of them), the animating idea behind them is that you can’t trust the pinheads in government to fully represent your interests, and thus “we the people” should be able to take matters into our own hands and change the law or the Constitution not only without the consent of any elected official. But if only the governor or attorney general can defend the law in court, that grants to those politicians a very real veto power over the law; because if they refuse to defend it, then it is very likely to be struck down. It is very easy to win a ball game when the other side doesn’t field a team. So the very spirit of the idea of changing the law by referendum is violated if there is no one there to defend that law in court.

That is exactly what was happening here, as California Governor Jerry “Moonbeam” Brown and his administration was refusing to defend the “yes” side which prevailed electorally in November 2008. So of course proponents must be able to defend it if the state won’t do its job. Oh, and the people in the state who refuse to do their constitutionally assigned jobs should be removed from office. They didn’t swear to uphold only the laws they like.

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At the Hill: “Forty Republicans call for resignation of Eric Holder, Obama’s attorney general.” Only 40?

‘Occupy’ Update (111811)

Filed under: Lucid Links — TBlumer @ 7:40 am

Obama-endorsed (proof herehere, and hereOccupy Update:

  • At The Blaze (HT OWS Exposed) — “Authorities say a Utah man has been arrested after throwing a Molotov cocktail at a (West Jordon, Utah) Wells Fargo branch.”
  • At NewsBusters — “Video: ‘Occupy San Diego’ Honors Suspected White House Shooter with Moment of Silence.”
  • From the “Some Animals Are More Equal Than Others” Dept. — “Class divisions at Occupy Wall Street” ridiculed by “The Daily Show.” When you’ve lost Jon Stewart …
  • New York City (HT Gateway Pundit, with exclusive videos at his place) — “… two New York City police officers were injured. One was slashed in the hand and a second officer was taken to a local hospital with an eye injury.” And critics wonder why they carry tear gas, pepper spray, etc.?
  • New York City — “In total, at least 275 people (at Zuccotti Park) were busted by cops; five of whom were charged with assault.”
  • Ron Radosh at PJ Media — “This week, even the usually hesitant Anti-Defamation League released a report that showed how much of the OWS included supporters of Hamas, opponents of Israel’s right to exist, and old fashioned anti-Semites.” Going forward, the ADL should consider less hesitancy.
  • Wes Pruden, the former take-no-prisoners editor of the Washington Times — “The tantrums of three-year-olds get old. You could ask any American mom.”
  • Speaking of the temper tantrums of three-year-olds“Some grade school students were forced to walk a gauntlet of screaming ‘Occupy Wall Street’ protesters just to get to school on Thursday.” Relatively speaking, the kids were the grown-ups.

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Today’s Occupy Mayhem Update is in a separate segment because it is once again sponsored by California Congresswoman Maxine Waters.

Just three months ago, Waters told a Los Angeles audience that “The Tea Party can go to hell.”

As I noted last night, Waters, after a Congressional Progressive Caucus-sponsored event at the Capitol, ‘when asked to comment Wednesday about the deaths and crimes that have occurred around Occupy protests being held across the country, … said ‘that’s life and it happens.””

Ms. Waters will therefore not object to yours truly informing readers that as of early this morning:

  • According to OWSexposed.com, the Occupy “That’s Life” death toll remains at 7.
  • At BigJournalism.com, John Nolte’s incomplete but nevertheless useful “It Happens” incident count stands at 271.

The Democratic Party — Barack Obama, Nancy Pelosi, Harry Reid, and its politicians — all own the Occupy movement, and it’s far too late for them to even think about walking it back, no matter what happens at today’s Day of Occupation “events” and in future “Occupy” efforts.

Positivity: Margate Man Finds Lost Diamond Ring in Pile of Trash

Filed under: Positivity — TBlumer @ 6:00 am

From Margate, Florida (HT Daryn Kagan):

Friday, Nov 11, 2011 | Updated 3:41 PM EST

$10,000 ring accidentally thrown out found after filthy search at waste facility

We’ve all accidentally thrown something valuable away in the trash, but what if that something was worth more than $10,000? Would you swim in a pile of waste to find it?

One Margate husband was faced with that conundrum and he didn’t think twice.

“The worst move of my life, horrible,” is how Brian McGuinn says he felt when he realized he had thrown out his wife’s engagement ring.

McGuinn meant to throw out a disposable razor, and ended up chucking out the ring with it. The one and a half carat diamond ring was valued at around $10,000, and worth far more than its weight in sentimental value.

He and his wife Anna have been married five years, and are now expecting a child.

“I just started crying and I would stop crying, and remind myself that jewelry is replaceable,” says Anna.

By the time they realized what happened, Waste Management had already picked up the trash from their community. Devastated, Anna called Wheelabrator–the waste management company, and within an hour, McGuinn was suited up, ready to jump into more than eight tons of garbage.

Workers were able to identify the garbage from McGuinn’s collection route, they even leveled the 10-foot high pile so that he could search for the ring.

After sifting through sludge, gunk, food scraps, and anything else you’d find in a dumpster, he found his diamond in the rough.

Go here for the rest of the story.

November 17, 2011

Maxine Waters’ ‘That’s Life’ Reax to OWS Deaths, Violence, and Crime Ignored by AP, NYT

MaxineWaters1111This one’s utterly predictable, but still needs to be noted.

As Edwin Mora at CNS News reported on Wednesday, California Congresswoman Maxine Waters, after a Congressional Progressive Caucus-sponsored event at the Capitol, “when asked to comment … about the deaths and crimes that have occurred around Occupy protests being held across the country, … said ‘that’s life and it happens.’” What’s also happened, or actually not happened, is that the Associated Press and the New York Times have failed to note what Waters said, as shown in the following search results on her first name at AP and on her full name (not in quotes) at the Times:

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Thank You, Ann Barnhardt; We Need More People With Your Courage

Filed under: Activism,Economy,Taxes & Government — TBlumer @ 8:35 pm

AnnBlendedAnn Barnhardt, a hedge broker specializing in cattle and grain, is quitting the brokerage portion of her business, and has posted an announcement as to why.

Big deal? Uh, yeah.

I’ve had similar more general conversations with several people along the lines Ann follows in her announcement over the past several months (really, upon reflection, including relatives, over the past year). These discussions obviously pre-dated what Ann saw as the point which dictated her exit. I’ve never articulated my thoughts on the situation here at BizzyBlog because, as a non-trader and non-insider who doesn’t closely follow the day-to-day ebb and flow of the markets, I’m not in a position to prove them or to know that I’m interpreting matters properly. Ms. Barnhardt is.

That’s why what follows is a big, big deal (link is to her blog’s home page, as Ann doesn’t have permalinks; excerpted heavily because of the importance of her assertions; HTs to Zero Hedge and Rush Limbaugh):

Dear Clients, Industry Colleagues and Friends of Barnhardt Capital Management,

It is with regret and unflinching moral certainty that I announce that Barnhardt Capital Management has ceased operations. After six years of operating as an independent introducing brokerage, and eight years of employment as a broker before that, I found myself, this morning, for the first time since I was 20 years old, watching the futures and options markets open not as a participant, but as a mere spectator.

The reason for my decision to pull the plug was excruciatingly simple: I could no longer tell my clients that their monies and positions were safe in the futures and options markets – because they are not. And this goes not just for my clients, but for every futures and options account in the United States. The entire system has been utterly destroyed by the MF Global collapse. Given this sad reality, I could not in good conscience take one more step as a commodity broker, soliciting trades that I knew were unsafe or holding funds that I knew to be in jeopardy.

The futures markets are very highly-leveraged and thus require an exceptionally firm base upon which to function. That base was the sacrosanct segregation of customer funds from clearing firm capital, with additional emergency financial backing provided by the exchanges themselves. Up until a few weeks ago, that base existed, and had worked flawlessly. Firms came and went, with some imploding in spectacular fashion. Whenever a firm failure happened, the customer funds were intact and the exchanges would step in to backstop everything and keep customers 100% liquid – even as their clearing firm collapsed and was quickly replaced by another firm within the system.

Everything changed just a few short weeks ago. A firm, led by a crony of the Obama regime, stole all of the non-margined cash held by customers of his firm. Let’s not sugar-coat this or make this crime seem “complex” and “abstract” by drowning ourselves in six-dollar words and uber-technical jargon. Jon Corzine STOLE the customer cash at MF Global. Knowing Jon Corzine, and knowing the abject lawlessness and contempt for humanity of the Marxist Obama regime and its cronies, this is not really a surprise. What was a surprise was the reaction of the exchanges and regulators. Their reaction has been to take a bad situation and make it orders of magnitude worse. Specifically, they froze customers out of their accounts WHILE THE MARKETS CONTINUED TO TRADE, refusing to even allow them to liquidate. This is unfathomable. The risk exposure precedent that has been set is completely intolerable and has destroyed the entire industry paradigm. No informed person can continue to engage these markets, and no moral person can continue to broker or facilitate customer engagement in what is now a massive game of Russian Roulette.

I have learned over the last week that MF Global is almost certainly the mere tip of the iceberg. There is massive industry-wide exposure to European sovereign junk debt. While other firms may not be as heavily leveraged as Corzine had MFG leveraged, and it is now thought that MFG’s leverage may have been in excess of 100:1, they are still suicidally leveraged and will likely stand massive, unmeetable collateral calls in the coming days and weeks as Europe inevitably collapses. I now suspect that the reason the Chicago Mercantile Exchange did not immediately step in to backstop the MFG implosion was because they knew and know that if they backstopped MFG, they would then be expected to backstop all of the other firms in the system when the failures began to cascade – and there simply isn’t that much money in the entire system. In short, the problem is a SYSTEMIC problem, not merely isolated to one firm.

… And so, to the very unpleasant crux of the matter. The futures and options markets are no longer viable. It is my recommendation that ALL customers withdraw from all of the markets as soon as possible so that they have the best chance of protecting themselves and their equity. The system is no longer functioning with integrity and is suicidally risk-laden. The rule of law is non-existent, instead replaced with godless, criminal political cronyism.

Finally, I will not, under any circumstance, consider reforming and re-opening Barnhardt Capital Management, or any other iteration of a brokerage business, until Barack Obama has been removed from office AND the government of the United States has been sufficiently reformed and repopulated so as to engender my total and complete confidence in the government, its adherence to and enforcement of the rule of law, and in its competent and just regulatory oversight of any commodities markets that may reform. So long as the government remains criminal, it would serve no purpose whatsoever to attempt to rebuild the futures industry or my firm, because in a lawless environment, the same thievery and fraud would simply happen again, and the criminals would go unpunished, sheltered by the criminal oligarchy.

To my clients, who literally TO THE MAN agreed with my assessment of the situation, and were relieved to be exiting the markets, and many whom I now suspect stayed in the markets as long as they did only out of personal loyalty to me, I can only say thank you for the honor and pleasure of serving you over these last years, with some of my clients having been with me for over twelve years. … my retirement came a few years earlier than I had anticipated, but there was no possible way to continue given the inevitability of the collapse of the global financial markets, the overthrow of our government, and the resulting collapse in the rule of law.

As for me, I can only echo the words of David:
“This is the Lord’s doing; and it is wonderful in our eyes.”

My contention is that the extent of the lawlessness goes far beyond the futures markets. Though there were obviously several decades of missteps and craven political calculations which led to it, I insist that the final of three key tipping points of the financial system’s credibility occurred on October 14, 2008, when Hank Paulson put a figurative gun to the heads of the CEOs of the nation’s largest banks, and — utterly without any legal authority, i.e., lawlessly — forced them to “accept” partial ownership and “temporary” de facto control of their firms.

In that same general time frame, the Federal Reserve, in this case secretly and again utterly without any authority, began engaging in massive transfers of funds to troubled domestic and overseas entities, while Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac’s implosions exposed how the two government-sponsored frauds-by-design systematically lied about the quality of the mortgages underlying the securities they issued and the loans they kept on their own books to the combined tune of likely trillions of dollars. No one involved, or at least no one involved at a sufficiently high level, has done hard time.

We began heading down the road Ann cited three-plus years ago when Fan and Fred collapsed without personal consequences for anyone, when Ben Bernanke turned the Fed into the world’s discount window, and finally when Hank Paulson formally announced the beginning of the government’s tyranny over the private portion of the banking system. Note well that all of this took place under cover of the final two months of a presidential election campaign, when apparently no one is allowed to object to anything lest they be accused — perish the thought! — of “politicizing” matters. Now, barring a sea change, it appears that someone who gambled away hundreds of millions of dollars which weren’t his won’t face consequences, while those whose funds were looted are becoming victims of system-enabled theft.

Ms. Barnhardt doesn’t understand how in good conscience one can confidently invest other people’s money, or make recommendations to people as to how they should invest their own money, in what have become lawless financial markets. Neither do I. People who wish to invest on their own are obviously free to try their luck, and of course some will do well. Others won’t. But please, let’s not have anyone kid themselves. In a lawless market, if you do well, it’s because you got lucky, not because you were smart — unless your definition of “smart” includes keeping your head down and not getting noticed, or joining the morally bankrupt cronyism game yourself.

Thank you, Ann Barnhardt. How many other financial advisers, planners, and “market” participants who know the truth are going to have the courage to stop playing along?

Y’know Ann, there’s an Oval Office in Washington which could really, really use a morally grounded occupant — or a reliable, reform-minded Treasury Secretary.

Initial Unemployment Claims: 388K SA, 360 NSA; More Slow ‘Improvement’

Filed under: Economy,Taxes & Government — TBlumer @ 9:03 am

From the Department of Labor:

In the week ending November 12, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 388,000, a decrease of 5,000 from the previous week’s revised figure of 393,000. The 4-week moving average was 396,750, a decrease of 4,000 from the previous week’s revised average of 400,750. …

UNADJUSTED DATA

The advance number of actual initial claims under state programs, unadjusted, totaled 360,139 in the week ending November 12, a decrease of 42,355 from the previous week. There were 409,548 initial claims in the comparable week in 2010.

Business Insider’s email predicted 395K, as did Reuters and Bloomberg.

So we have a 7-month low, a four-week average below 400K (and it will almost definitely stay there, even after next week’s virtually inevitable upward revision), and more slow “progress.” The word is in quotes because after almost 3-1/2 years of the POR (Pelosi-Obama-Reid) Economy, it’s worth asking whether the numerical comedown is due to genuine if slight improvement, or if employers are beginning to run out of people to let go who would are legally eligible for unemployment compensation.

There hasn’t been a period of such sustained high weekly claims numbers since World War II, so the skepticism is not at all out of order. We’ll just have to wait and see if declining claims really lead to legitimate declines in unemployment (i.e., both as regularly measured and fully-loaded) and to significant increases in employment in the next few months’ Employment Situation reports.

Econo-Misery, and Three Econo-Myths

PJmediaPopListing111611“It’s not so bad” media and leftist memes for the coming miserable year.

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Note: This column went up at PJ Media and was teased here at BizzyBlog on Tuesday. Many thanks to BizzyBlog and other readers who, as seen at the right, kept it at the top of PJM’s “Most Popular” list nearly 40 hours after it initially appeared (12:03 a.m. PT on Nov. 15). Update: It actually stayed at the top for several more hours. Thx to all.

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“It’s one thing to fall into a ditch. Quite another to paint and decorate the ditch and call it home.”

– Rich Karlgaard at Forbes.com, November 2

Private and government forecasters are conceding that the economy is in a funk and won’t improve much next year. The Federal Reserve’s most recent predictions are that economic growth in 2012 will be 2.5% – 2.9%, and that unemployment will still be above 8.5% at year’s end.

I would add: “If we’re lucky.”

Two observations put all of this into perspective:

  • We are still in the midst of the worst post-World War II “recovery” — and you can barely call it that — on record. As Investor’s Business Daily pointed out in August, in every post-war downturn until the most recent recession, the economy’s output got back to where it was before the downturn began in three or fewer quarters. This time, we didn’t get over that hump for nine quarters. That’s three times longer than any other recovery since the Great Depression. Oh, and I almost forgot: The private sector is still smaller than it was at the end of 2007.
  • Until Team Obama occupied the White House, the longest string of months during which the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate was greater than 8.5% was 22, from January 1982 until October 1983. We’re now at 32 months and counting. If the Fed’s prediction above is correct, the streak will be at 44 on Election Day next year, doubling the previous record. Primarily because of misguided Keynesianism on steroids, millions of the long-term unemployed, in many instances despite their best efforts, are seeing their skills diminish. Because the pace of technological change is so much faster now than it was during the 1930s Depression Era, we are arguably witnessing the greatest destruction of human capital in U.S. history.

Welcome to Rich Karlgaard’s ditch — except that it’s not your normal two-sided affair. While we could with luck eventually climb out on the right side, to the left there is only a steep cliff. Additionally, any number of possible earthquakes from, say, Europe, bankrupt U.S. cities, or elsewhere could bring the whole thing crashing down at any time.

Sadly, none of this matters to President Obama, his apparatchiks, or his establishment press propagandists nearly as much as their virtually all-consuming goal of achieving his reelection. That is why you can expect any number of expectations-diminishing characterizations of the economy — de facto ditch painting and ditch decorating — to emanate from the White House and to be dutifully repeated in the media between now and November 6, 2012. What follows are just three of them.

1. It’s unrealistic to expect economic growth of 4% or more.

Gosh, the last time I heard this one was during the late 1970s, when — imagine that — a failing first-term Democrat was in the White House. “Somehow,” after emerging from the ugly recession brought on by Jimmy Carter’s high-inflation, high-interest rate disaster, economic growth under Ronald Reagan averaged 4.4% per year from 1983 to 1988. In the first six quarters after the Carter-driven recession officially ended, annualized growth averaged over 6-1/2%.

Given the amount of underutilized though increasingly skills-deficient labor and the abundant fossil-fuel resources available if only the governmental willpower existed to allow us to go get them, growth of greater than 4% is not out of the question; in fact, it’s inexcusable that we’re not achieving it right now.

But there’s another key element of economic holdback about which the government and the press remain in denial.

2. Regulations really aren’t that excessive — and besides, they don’t cause jobs losses.

This is a real craw-sticker. At least twice recently, Christopher Rugaber at the Associated Press, which really ought to end the pretense and rename itself “The Administration’s Press,” has criticized candidate assertions during the Republican debates about how regulations are killing jobs. Rugaber’s most risible claim:

… Labor Department data show that few companies where large layoffs occur say government regulation was the reason. Just two-tenths of 1 percent of layoffs since Obama took office have been due to government regulation, the data show.

One hardly knows where to begin. Here are just a few of many valid counterarguments:

  • Companies usually cite multiple reasons for layoffs and plant closures, and sometimes don’t mention regulations at all, even if they’re relevant. Take two paper company closures occurring in Hamilton, Ohio, just north of Cincinnati, during the past month. One company, in announcing 237 layoffs, cited “competition from Asia, rising costs of raw materials and uncertainty surrounding new federal pollution rules.” Is this one part of Chris’s 0.2%, or does it not count because the “pollution rules” weren’t mentioned first? Clearly, regs were relevant. The second company is terminating 133 jobs and will “transition manufacturing” to mills in another state. The coverage of their announcement doesn’t say a word about regulations, but since the second company’s plant is similar in age to the first company’s, pollution regs were also probably relevant there. Yet it won’t count in Chris’s calculations.
  • Looking only at large layoffs is an obviously incomplete procedure. Small layoffs tend to happen at smaller enterprises, may affect more employees in total, and are more likely to occur due to increased regulatory costs.
  • There are two well-known recent examples of regulations killing jobs that don’t directly involve layoffs. The Obama administration’s regulatory slowdown of Gulf of Mexico deep-water drilling permit approvals in the wake of last year’s BP oil spill is preventing over 10,000 people from getting back to work and causing some rigs to move, permanently ending related job opportunities. The Washington Examiner recently reported that a lawyer at the National Labor Relations Board, which regulates union-worker matters, was “joking” in an email “that the NLRB’s suit against Boeing would kill jobs in South Carolina” — potentially about 4,000 of them. Is that in your numbers, Chris?
  • As I noted in October, “laying a worker off is not the only way to ‘kill’ a job,” as Rugaber would seemingly have us believe. Regulatory burdens can and do cause companies to reduce their workforces through attrition, not replacing those who retire, deciding to manufacture new products overseas instead of domestically, and hiring temps, seasonal, or part-time workers instead of full-timers.

3. The flat economy is hurting government employees, while the private sector is doing okay.

This claim was made by Harry Reid and dutifully regurgitated a short time later by Tom Raum at the AP in October. Seasonally adjusted public-sector employment didn’t stop growing until May 2009, the month before the recession ended. Federal non-postal employment has increased by 130,000 since Obama took office. The private sector, while gaining over 2.7 million jobs since the beginning of 2009, is still down by over 6 million jobs from its pre-recession peak, and is at the same level it was in the spring of 2004. By comparison, state and local government employment, both of which grew too much during the past decade and stayed artificially high through the recession, are back to where they were in early 2006. There’s no reasonable doubt that the greater pain by far is still in the private sector.

The White House and Congress should be doing everything they can to get the private sector fully back on its feet. But they’re not. That’s because the administration’s and congressional Democrats’ aim, as evidenced in Dodd-Frank, ObamaCare, and so many other legal and regulatory matters, is to permanently make the government a bigger and ever more intrusive part of the economy and every citizen’s daily life. That, dear readers, is not a myth.