November 6, 2012

Live Blogging the Election From Brown County; Four More Years of the Punk Presidency

Filed under: Taxes & Government — Tom @ 7:58 pm

1:20 a.m. — We leave you this evening with something from Ann Coulter about 2-1/2 years ago:

Ironic on two levels, wouldn’t you say? Actually, make that three.

UPDATE, 1:30 p.m.: Michelle Malkin — “Chins up. Stand tall. We’ll fight again tomorrow.” As we must. Everything that matters remains at stake.

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We’ll try to keep a running EV count up top here (per Fox and Drudge, mostly):
- Obama (as of 1L30 a.m. signoff) — 303 (CA, CT, DE, DC, HI, IA, IL, MA, MD, ME, MI, MN, NH, NJ, NM, NV, NY, OH, OR, PA, RI, VT, WA, WI)
- Romney — 203 (AL, AR, AZ, GA, ID, IN, KS, KY, MO, MS, MT, NC, ND, NE, OK, SC, SD, TN, TX, UT, WV, WY)

11:37 p.m. — Now it is over at the 99%-plus level. Obama is a virtual lock to take VA, in a very sharp turnaround, meaning that the press would have to be wrong in their calls on both OH and IA. 11:50 p.m. — Obama has won VA. We’ll have four more years of the Punk Presidency and his Gangster Government. The people of this country, at least those who supported Obama, have no idea how much trouble the greatest country on earth is now in.

11:35 p.m. — Obama leads by 50K in FL at the moment.

11:30 p.m. — Romney isn’t conceding, and shouldn’t, even though the odds are very, very long.

11:20 p.m. — Romney is within 2K in OH, and they’ve called Obama’s reelection. I’m not buying yet, though the overwhelming odds are that it has indeed happened.

11:14 p.m. — Fox has called OH for Obama. I’m not buying it yet. His lead is only 30K with 30% uncounted, including half of Hamilton County.

11:07 p.m. — Well, for Romney it comes down to FL (29), then to VA (13), then to OH (18), then to CO (9), then to either IA (6) or NV (6). He’ll get Alaska (3). That will give him 271 or 277. Odds: very long, but not impossible.

11:00 p.m. — FL is now Romney +36k. The back and forth swings are unbelievable. The VA Senate race went to Kaine.

10:55 p.m. — If I were betting now, I’d bet against Romney winning OH because too much of Cuyahoga (about half) hasn’t been counted and the Obama margin coming out of there is so ridiculous. Lots of rural votes are still not counted, but it’s not looking good. 10:58 p.m. — As if to mock my assessment, Obama’s OH lead is now down to 31K. 11:03 p.m. — Now it’s 26K.

10:50 p.m. — Obama’s lead in FL is 25K. 10:54 p.m. — Now Drudge has it in a dead heat.

10:42 p.m. — Romney will almost definitely win NC, even if the nets haven’t called it yet. With 2/3 of the votes counted, he has a 128K vote lead.

10:39 p.m. — Uh oh, Romney’s VA lead is down to 25K. with about 88% counted.

10:34 p.m. — Obama’s lead in FL is 48K. 10:36 p.m. — Now it’s 23K.

10:32 p.m. — Sherrod Brown will defeat Josh Mandel for OH’s US Senate seat.

10:28 p.m. — NM declared for Obama.

10:24 p.m. – with Warren Co. half counted, it’s Romney by 68-30 and a 25K margin.

10:22 p.m. — Obama’s OH lead is up to 86K. It looks like it’s Cuyahoga Co. vs. the rest of the state for the rest of the night.

10:18 p.m. — Obama looks to be in control in MN.

10:11 p.m. — Congressman Mike Pence will be IN’s next Governor.

10:10 p.m. — Dems won the races in IN and MO for Senate seats.

10:09 p.m. — Wow, now Romney is up by 36K in FL, per Drudge. He’s within 58K in Ohio with 51% counted. 10:15 p.m. — Now Obama is up by 36K in FL.

10:00 p.m. — Virginia looks like it’s going to go to Romney. He’s up by 62K votes with 80% counted. Obama would have to take about 60% of the remaining votes to catch up.

9:55 p.m. — The fraud known as Liz Warren will become the next Senator from Massachusetts, per Fox.

9:54 p.m. — Obama wins NH, per Fox.

9:48 p.m. — Obama’s OH lead is down to 73K with 41% of the vote counted.

9:45 p.m. — FL has bounced back and forth. Obama had a 20K vote lead about 10 minutes ago, but now Romney is up by 12K with about 7.3 million votes counted. 9:50 p.m. — Now Obama is up by 13K. 9:52 p.m. — Now it’s +29K Obama.

9:40 p.m. — Both statewide issues in Ohio got crushed by huge margins, which means that the current state rep, state senate, and congressional district lines will stay as is until the 2020 elections.

9:31 p.m. — Obama’s lead in OH is down to 105,000 with 28% of the vote counted.

9:26 p.m. — Romney leads in FL by 21,000 votes out of about 7 million, per Drudge. Can’t tell what % has been counted. Just went to FL SOS site, and Romney’s lead is only 7,000.

9:25 p.m. — Fox just called WI for Obama.

9:24 p.m. — Romney won Clermont County (only one precinct remains) by 32,500 votes (67%-31.5%) with a 69% turnout.

9:21 p.m. — Obama’s lead in OH is down to 123,000 with about 20% counted. A bit less than half of his opening absentee advantage is gone.

9:20 p.m. — Fox TV is saying Obama has 147 EVs but has 143 at its web site. Don’t know why.

9:15 p.m. — fox has called PA for Obama. It really looks like it will come down to OH.

9:12 p.m. — In Ohio, it’s Obama by 52-46, with Romney gaining, having cut the lead from about 230,000 to 133,000.

9:09 p.m. — Meaningful info from NC and VA should be arriving shortly.

9:00 p.m. — Lots of new additions noted at top. MI is the only contested state that’s now decided, and it went to Obama.

9:00 p.m. — Warren County, with about 25% of the votes counted, is going 67-32 for Romney.

8:55 p.m. — OH-06 and OH-15 Congressional races bear watching. GOP needs to hold each.

8:50 p.m. — Calm before storm time. Trying to watch MN, WI, and VA as well.

8:35 p.m. — No news yet from MI and PA, which we’re watching.

8:30 p.m. — Clermont County is at 64-34 for Romney, with only a few precincts beyond absentees apparently reporting.

8:26 p.m. — Butler County’s early votes went 57-41 for Romney.

8:20 p.m. — TN is Romney’s. No surprise.

8:15 p.m. — Hamilton County apparently went for Obama in absentees 57%-42%, and in Montgomery County (Dayton) by 63%-37%.

8:05 p.m. — Fox News has Obama 79-71 in the Electoral College with no surprises so far. Other states for Romney are OK, AL, and MS. Others in Obama’s lineup so far is CT, DE, DC, IL, ME, RI, NJ, MA, and MD.

8:02 p.m. — Fox calls SC for Romney; no surprise.

8:01 p.m. — No surprises here, per Drudge: Romney wins GA, IN, KY SC, WV. Obama wins VT.

8:00 p.m. — After some misdirection in trying to find Republican Party Headquarters here, we’re ready to roll. Fox News is on TV, and a giant scoreboard for Brown County results is set against one wall.

Don’t worry, we’re going to concentrate on the national races, especially as they relate to Ohio and other swing states. Here goes.

Having Voted at About 3 p.m. …

Filed under: Taxes & Government — Tom @ 3:43 pm

… I was stunned at the large number of people who have voted thus far in “my” precinct and the other one which voted in the same building.

This area is strongly Republican. If this is a trend throughout the state, it bodes well for a Romney victory and an Obama defeat in the Buckeye State, and almost as well for a Mandel victory over Brown.

Will Someone in the Press Prematurely Project Obama the Winner Based on Dem-Dominated 31-State Exit Polls?

Note: This post originally went up early this morning.

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So the meme is supposedly set. Final pre-election expectations are that the popular vote in the 2012 presidential contest will come in roughly deadlocked. Rasmussen and Gallup show Republican nominee Mitt Romney up by one point. Other polls show either a tie or slight lead for incumbent Democrat Barack Obama.

Set against this expectation, don’t be surprised if someone in the press, perhaps even at one of the big networks, gets overexcited and projects Barack Obama the winner based on Tuesday’s early exit polls without realizing that their scope and design have changed from previous presidential elections in two fundamental ways.

(more…)

Tuesday Off-Topic (Moderated) Open Thread (110612)

Filed under: Lucid Links — Tom @ 6:05 am

Rules are here. Possible comment fodder may follow later. Other topics are also fair game.

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Positivity: Project sends spiritual relief to the frontlines

Filed under: Positivity,US & Allied Military — Tom @ 6:00 am

From Washington:

Nov 2, 2012 / 02:17 am

For more than two years, the Frontline Faith Project has worked to send MP3 players with Catholic content to U.S. troops, who may not be have regular access to a chaplain or religious services.

“The whole idea was to bring the Catholic Church to those troops who don’t have a chaplain available to them,” said Cheri Lomonte, founder of the Frontline Faith Project.

The project was initially founded in response to a shortage of Catholic chaplains in the military. Working as the co-host of Mary’s Touch radio program, Lomonte received a prayer request for a listener’s son who had been in Afghanistan for nine months without seeing a Catholic chaplain.

“I had to do something about this,” she told CNA in an Oct. 31 interview, adding that she “knew right then it was the Holy Spirit.”

Lomonte had previously been involved in efforts to give MP3 players with recorded stories to the homeless in Austin, Texas, and decided to apply this idea to the military to “make sure that they can hear a Mass and a Rosary,” even if they cannot access a chaplain.

“If we can’t bring them the Catholic Church, we have to bring them something,” she said.

She began to look for material and ask for permission to use it. She eventually assembled more than seven hours of material, including a presentation that Archbishop Fulton Sheen gave at West Point, an examination of conscience, a recording of a Mass celebrated by Military Archbishop Timothy P. Broglio and a recitation of the Rosary.

The MP3 player also includes Church music, children reading letters that they wrote to members of the armed forces and inspiring military stories.

Soon, she said, Protestant chaplains were calling her to request a non-denominational Christian version. The result was a second set of recordings, with talks, stories, songs, reflections and letters, but without distinctively Catholic features such as the Mass and Rosary.

Since 2010, the Frontline Faith Project has sent out some 30,000 MP3 players, and Lomonte said they are “just getting started.” …

Go here for the rest of the story.

SNL Dress Rehearsal Sketch: Obama Makes Sure Ohio Is Taken Care Of After Sandy

Filed under: News from Other Sites,Taxes & Government — Tom @ 12:34 am

Making sure “every dollar of federal aid we raise will go immediately to affected areas — in Ohio” (via Buzzfeed):

This is legitimately edgy stuff. Maybe someone can tell me whether this made it to the airwaves on Saturday.