November 5, 2013

Semi-Live Virginia Gov Post: McAuliffe Wins (See Update)

Filed under: Taxes & Government — Tom @ 8:21 pm

Drudge has 45% counted and Cuccinelli with a 7.4-point lead over McAuliffe.

The guess here is that Northern VA hasn’t been counted and that when it is, it will put McAuliffe over the top. Hope I’m wrong. That’s what happened with Obama-Romney last year, and there’s no reason outside of hope that things will be different this time.

8:30 p.m.: 56% counted, Cuccinelli up by 5.4%. Sadly, that’s easily reversible.

8:45 p.m.: 65% counted, Cuccinelli up by 3.9%. Not looking good. McAuliffe can easily take NoVa by 8% to make up the margin if that’s what hasn’t been counted.

9:00 p.m.: 77% counted, Cuccinelli up by 2.5%. McAuliffe still needs to win the rest by about 8%, and that’s doable.

9:05 p.m.: 81% counted, Cuccinelli up by 1.3%. Way too close. McAuliffe appears to be rounding third and headling for home.

9:07 p.m.: At the VA BOE site, Cuccinelli’s lead is 0.92%, and only 15,000 votes. It might as well as be over. This may be the link. If not go here. 517 of 2,541 precincts remain.

9:14 p.m.: A look at the results spreadsheet as of 9:10 p.m. has 150,000 votes in Fairfax County across from DC. That SEEMS like it might be the vast majority of Fairfax, and it MAY be that Fairfax has been almost all counted. MAYBE there’s hope for Cuccinelli.

9:17 p.m.: Cuccinelli up by 9,000 votes. 84.57% counted.

9:20 p.m.: If McAuliffe wins, it will NOT be with a majority (maybe 47%). This is Apollo Creed barely surviving (but yes, winning) in Rocky I.

9:23 p.m.: Drudge’s latest update is 83% counted, Cuccinelli up by 1.1%, i.e., Cucc’s lead lengthened a bit.

9:26 p.m.: Fox has called VA for McAuliffe, but I’m going to hang in until he really takes an insurmountable lead.

9:28 p.m.: Drudge’s latest update is 88% counted, Cuccinelli up by 0.03% (400 votes).

9:32 p.m. I haven’t found any evidence that the Associated Press has called the race yet.

9:38 p.m. Drudge has 91% counted and McAuliffe with a 0.4-point lead (7,500 votes) over Cuccinelli. Cucc needs to get 55% of the remaining votes. Not impossible, but extremely difficult.

9:45 p.m. 93% counted, MCAULIFFE 47.02%, CUCCINELLI 46.09%. Cucc has to win about 58% of the rest of the votes. Unless all the uncounted votes are from conservative areas, it’s over.

9:50 p.m.: Fox’s Brit Hume says that this result has to “scare the heck” out of Democrats.

9:55 p.m.: 95% counted with McAuliffe in front by 1.21%. Cucc would have to get about 65% of the remainder. It’s not happening. McAuliffe wins.


UPDATE, Nov. 6, 7:20 a.m.: Eric Erickson

The RNC spent $9 million in 2009 to win and spent $3 million this time, pulling money out of Virginia, to lose by a hair. The RNC truly screwed up in Virginia this time and no amount of spinning can distract from that screw up. It was Election Day itself when someone finally noticed the 3rd party candidate, Sarvis, had been funded by a major Obama donor. Election Day the GOP finally notices this!

Cuccinelli had all the insiders aligned against him. He was the outsider. The gays hated him, the Chamber of Commerce hated him, the kid killers hated him, the GOP establishment hated him — all the insiders hated Cuccinelli

The Republican Party would rather lose than fully support someone not in lockstep with the go-along, get-along mentality — even if it means losing to a man who is the most corrupt and ideologically bankrupt person imaginaible.

Ken Cuccinelli is also the guy who spearheaded the unsuccessful effort to overturn Obamacare at the Supreme Court. It’s obviously not his fault that Chief Justice John Roberts sold out his country and the Constitution. Cuccinelli should have had the aggressive backing of all Republicans and libertarians, especially considering the alternative. What a tragedy.

The fact that the Virginia House of Delegates is Republican-dominated (AP has confirmed this, though the exact split is not yet known; the Senate is evenly split, but effectively Democrat-controlled because the Lt. Governor is now a Dem) is no consolation when a corrupt man like Terry McAuliffe is in charge. For people like him, legislatures are annoyances. He’ll rule by fiat wherever possible.


1 Comment

  1. “The Republican Party would rather lose than fully support someone not in lockstep with the go-along, get-along mentality — even if it means losing to a man who is the most corrupt and ideologically bankrupt person imaginaible.”

    You could have said that about Allen West, too. His competitor was a “Daddy and Uncle George Soros just bought me a Congressional seat” DWS lock-step Democrat. No character. No resume. Nothing to offer except that he won’t rock the boat.

    That’s not representation. That’s capitulation.

    That’s also why I keep sending back the RNC surveys back to them without any cash – and make them pay for the postage.

    Comment by GW — November 6, 2013 @ 9:14 am

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