November 21, 2013

Ohio: HB 237 CommonCore Repeal Recap

Filed under: Activism,Education,Taxes & Government — Tom @ 11:58 am

At Education Freedom Ohio, regarding last night’s Common Core hearing in Columbus (bolds are mine):

… Ultimately, aside from HB 237 sponsor Rep. Andy Thompson, only three other representatives respectfully represented this state last night…

They were all Democrats:
Rep. Heather Bishoff
Rep. Fred Strahorn
Rep. John Patterson

At the very least, these representatives listened intently, and asked intelligent questions, which demonstrated that they were listening intently.

Ohio Republicans were impotent and ineffectual. Of course a couple – Stebelton and Brenner – acted like spoiled brats, upset that they had to listen to these witnesses, who … flew in on their own freaking dime to testify about the perils of Race to the Top/Common Core.

They were rude and sarcastic…no, they were sardonic.

… the sad reality, about which we all yearn to be wrong, was more glaring than ever…we can’t fix stupid in Ohio.

But we can vote it out of office.

I don’t want to pretend to be seeing something which clearly isn’t there yet. But I will observe that the massive loss of confidence in government we’ve seen in Washington in just two months has the potential to spread to states which have inexplicably gone along with its largely lawless agenda and have compounded it with lawlessness of their own and, as seen in the full post linked above, by betraying the principles of representative government.

That is to say, politicians in their current perches may not be as untouchable as they clearly believe they are.

Ayers ‘Confesses’ He Wrote ‘Dreams of My Father’: The ‘Surprise’ in This Is the Timing

Filed under: Scams,Taxes & Government — Tom @ 9:10 am

Link (don’t expect it to be there long; HT Gateway Pundit via HyScience):

AyersWroteObamasDreams112113

Five years ago, Jack Cashill’s research pretty much proved what Ayers is said to have admitted — again (last time, in 2011, he did that and then backed away in the same evening).

It matters because, as Cashill wrote on September 20, 2008, “That Obama had anything to do with this man should disqualify him for the presidency.”

As to the timing, it’s odd because Obama is at his presidency’s lowest point and can ill afford this rehash traveling far.

So is Ayers’ move another “just kidding” setup, unfocused spite, a sign that Obama’s real base or hardened radicals is abandoning him — or, conceivably, the beginning of a movement to get rid of him for betraying them with utter incompetence?

Initial Unemployment Claims (112113): 323K SA; Raw Claims Down Almost 20% From Same Week Last Year

Filed under: Economy,Taxes & Government — Tom @ 8:14 am

Predictions:

  • Bloomberg — 335,000 seasonally adjusted claims, down from 339,000 last week (before revision). The Department of Labor’s detailed history already shows that last week was revised up to 344,000. Unless it’s some kind of snafu (it’s DEFINITELY a snafu that it got posted, as the markets aren’t supposed to know this until 8:30), that doesn’t bode well for this week.
  • Business Insider — Same.

Seasonal adjustment factors (link):

  • Week ended Nov. 16, 2013 — 99.9
  • Week ended Nov. 17, 2012 — 100.9

Raw claims:

  • Week ended Nov. 9, 2013 — 357,836 (DOL’s detailed history shows an upward revision to 363,506)
  • Week ended Nov. 17, 2012 — 403,637

This week’s seasonal adjustment factor means that raw and seasonally adjusted claims will be identical.

I’d like to be wrong, but I don’t see that happening. Raw claims would have to fall by over 8% from last week’s upwardly revised figure.

I’m thinking 345K if conditions on the ground aren’t all that bad, 360K if conditions are the same as last week, and 375K if things are getting worse. If the predictions above are right (and they hold up after last week’s revision), there is some improvement underway.

All of this assumes that the states’ reporting delays and their problems in processing and reporting claims in a timely manner are behind us. Last week’s Associated Press report made no mention of late state reporting. … but Zero Hedge said that five states were estimated.

The report will be here at 8:30 a.m.

HERE IT IS (permanent link):

SEASONALLY ADJUSTED DATA

In the week ending November 16, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 323,000, a decrease of 21,000 from the previous week’s revised figure of 344,000. The 4-week moving average was 338,500, a decrease of 6,750 from the previous week’s revised average of 345,250.

… UNADJUSTED DATA

The advance number of actual initial claims under state programs, unadjusted, totaled 322,510 in the week ending November 16, a decrease of 40,996 from the previous week. There were 403,637 initial claims in the comparable week in 2012.

One think I didn’t figure is that many unemployment offices might have been closed on Veteran’s Day, while Veteran’s Day was on a Sunday last year. But I don’t think that would have had much of an effect.

This a surprisingly good result in the circumstances. Now let’s hang on for some immediate reax …

  • Associated Press — “further evidence of an improving job market.” There’s no mention of any reporting problems or delays.
  • Bloomberg — “further healing in the labor market. … Last week included the Veterans’ Day holiday, which makes adjusting the data for seasonal swings more difficult, a Labor Department spokesman said.

Veteran’s Day may put a bit of an asterisk on the result, but not enough to negate the idea that this is good news.

If you’re looking for another reason to doubt the report’s overall significance to the condition of the economy, there’s this argument seen at Bloomberg: “Rising sales going into the holiday-shopping period will probably prompt employers to keep current workers on staff to meet demand.” Well, perhaps that explains retail, but what about the rest of the economy?

Thursday Off-Topic (Moderated) Open Thread (112113)

Filed under: Lucid Links — Tom @ 7:40 am

This open thread will stay at or near the top today. Rules are here. Possible comment fodder may follow. Other topics are also fair game.

Positivity: Conference highlights Mary as example of evangelization

Filed under: Positivity — Tom @ 6:00 am

From Mexico City:

Nov 17, 2013 / 01:54 pm

Church leaders at a conference in Mexico City emphasized unity and Christ-centered witness, as they discussed Our Lady of Guadalupe’s ongoing call to evangelize the Americas.

“Our Lady of Guadalupe is the mother of the Mexicans, but she is also the mother of everyone who draws near to her,” Archbishop Christophe Pierre, apostolic nuncio to Mexico, said Nov. 16.

When Our Lady appeared, she changed the future of the people, “giving them new hope” and planting the seed of a new race, he explained.

And since that time, “she has not stopped calling.” Rather, she continues to reach out as a mother to comfort those who have suffered, bringing a “new heart” to Mexico and the New World.
(more…)