May 24, 2018

Very Few Old Media Outlets Note Reuters’ Generic Election Poll Favoring GOP

Earlier this week, Reuters/Ipsos reported that its generic “How Will You Vote?” poll ahead of November’s mid-term elections had swung into Republicans’ favor for the first time this year, erasing a double-digit lead Democrats had just four weeks ago. This kind of movement would certainly be news at the Associated Press, the New York Times, the Big Three networks, and other so-called mainstream media outlets if a strong GOP lead were to disappear so quickly. But as of Thursday afternoon, while scores of center-right blogs and news outlets noticed this seismic change, only a precious few less-than-major establishment press outlets had.

The swings are quite dramatic.

Here is the 5-day rolling average graphic. They show that the Democrats’ 11-point lead four weeks ago has disappeared. The GOP even had leads as high as six points earlier this week before matters returned to a draw in the most recent reported 5-day period (click on the graphic to see a larger version in a separate tab or window):

ReutersIpsos5dayGenericTo052118

The weekly results show the GOP winning the week ending May 20 after trailing by over 8 points three weeks earlier.

ReutersIpsosWeeklyGenericTo052018

The Hill covered the story on Tuesday, noting that “The results are a stark contrast to previous polls, which showed Democrats with a 10-point edge as of late April,” and that “the Reuters poll reflects a larger trend of Republicans closing the gap in the generic ballot.”

Newsweek also did a Tuesday story:

Democrats hyping a sweeping blue wave on Capitol Hill come November may have to temper expectations after new polling showed the party beginning to lose its midterm advantage.

For the first time in this election cycle, a Reuters poll this week gave the GOP a 1.4 percentage-point lead over Democrats on a generic ballot.

Newsweek’s Marie Solis has a strange definition of “losing its midterm advantage.” Though it’s still 5-1/2 months before Election Day 2018, her reported numbers show that the Dems have lost their advantage.

Forget about finding Reuters-specific data at the New York Times or the Associated Press — or at an actual Reuters story. The Times at least had a Wednesday item by Russ Douthat referring to the Dems’ “steadily shrinking generic ballot lead.”

David Steinberg at PJ Media noticed the minimal establishment press coverage on Wednesday. His reaction:

Last week, Americans heard the Democratic Party’s elected representatives and key figures defend the monstrous terror group Hamas, fight to recognize the “humanity” of the barbarous MS-13, and claim that a spy dispatched to the Trump campaign was in fact an “informant” who was “protecting” Trump from Russia.

Apparently none of this appealed to voters — and they immediately responded.

Steinberg’s contentions, combined with a consistently improving economy, are quite plausible — as is the idea that the establishment press isn’t particularly interested in recognizing the momentum swing reported by Reuters. If they did, they’d have to tell their readers why it’s happening, which is a prospect they apparently can’t stomach.

Cross-posted, with possible revisions, at NewsBusters.org.

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